for Tuesday, 02 December 2014 [9:35 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT UPDATE NUMBER 001
Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Tuesday 02 December 2014
Next Update: Wednesday Morning, 03 December 2014
The strong Tropical Storm, internationally named HAGUPIT, which was swirling over the southern part of the Caroline Islands during the past 24 hours has accelerated rapidly to the west...may pose a threat to Eastern Philippines this weekend.
Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia, Republic of Palau, Eastern Philippines (from Eastern Luzon down to Eastern Mindanao) should closely monitor the development of Hagupit.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
None for the next 2 to 3 days.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Hagupit
Location: Over the southern part of the Caroline Islands (near 6.2N 144.1E)
About: 755 km southeast of Colonia, Yap Island...or 1,980 km east of Mati City, Davao Oriental
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 100 kph near the center...Gustiness: 130 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 940 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 65 km from the Center
Past Movement: West @ 31 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 28 kph
Towards: Western Micronesia
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Hagupit is expected to move in a straight west-northwest track with a decrease in its forward speed throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, TS Hagupit will be passing close to the south of Yap Island on Wednesday evening...and shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by late Thursday morning or afternoon.
TS Hagupit is expected to continue gaining strength throughout the forecast outlook as it moves over the higher sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of the Western Pacific Ocean. This storm is likely to become a Typhoon later tonight or early Wednesday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing rapidly to 185 kph by Thursday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Typhoon as it passes across the Western Micronesia...about 180 km southeast of Yap Island [2PM DEC 03: 8.2N 139.1E @ 150kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens into a powerful Typhoon after entering the PAR...moving across the easternmost Philippine Sea...about 905 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM DEC 04: 10.6N 134.0E @ 185kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Still gaining strength over the south-central part of the Philippine Sea...slows down...about 500 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2PM DEC 05: 11.6N 130.0E @ 205kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Dec 02, 2014
Location of Center: Near 6.2º N Lat 144.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 805 km S of Hagatna, Guam
Distance 2: 1005 km E of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1065 km ESE of Koror, Palau
Distance 4: 2025 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 5: 2090 km ESE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS HAGUPIT...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2014 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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