WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT (RUBY) UPDATE NUMBER 024
Issued at: 7:45 AM PhT (23:45 GMT) Tuesday 09 December 2014
Next Update: Tuesday Afternoon, 09 December 2014
HAGUPIT (RUBY) continues to drift generally westward over the Verde Island Passage, just off the northern coast of Occidental Mindoro.
This typhoon will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Southern and Central Luzon should closely monitor the development of Hagupit (Ruby).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Cavite, Western Batangas incl. Lubang Island, and Northern Mindoro - today until tomorrow morning, Wednesday (Dec 10).
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Laguna, Rizal, Metro Manila, most parts of Quezon incl. Polilio Island, Marinduque, Bulacan, Pampanga, Southern Zambales, Bataan and Mindoro - today until tomorrow morning, Wednesday (Dec 10).
- Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of not more than 95 kph): Western Batangas including Lubang Island, and Northwestern part of Mindoro - today, Tuesday (Dec 09).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...Dec 09.
Classification/Name: TS Hagupit (Ruby)
Location: Off the northern coast of Occidental Mindoro (near 13.6N 120.5E)
About: 45 km west-northwest of Puerto Galera...or 40 km southeast of Lubang Island
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 25 to 200 mm [Slight to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 670 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West to WNW @ 9 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 18 kph
Towards: Occidental Mindoro-Lubang Island Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to move west and increase its speed during the next 24 hours...turning west-southwest slightly through 48 hours. On the forecast track, TS Hagupit (Ruby) shall traverse the West Philippine Sea and moves out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Wednesday late afternoon.
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue to weaken throughout the outlook period due ot the entrainment of cold-dry air of the Northeasterlies. It shall be downgraded into a Tropical Depression by Thursday early morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by early Thursday morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens further as it moves and increases its speed over the West Philippine Sea...about 345 km west of Lubang Island [2AM DEC 10: 13.7N 117.0E @ 65kph].
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Depression...after exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 265 km north-northwest of Pagasa Island [2AM DEC 11: 13.4N 113.7E @ 55kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Moves west-southwestward as it nears the southeastern coasts of Southern Vietnam...weakens further...about 150 km northeast of Nha Trang, Vietnam [2AM DEC 12: 12.6N 110.5E @ 45kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Dec 09, 2014
Location of Center: Near 13.6º N Lat 120.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 65 km WSW of Batangas City
Distance 2: 70 km SW of Tagaytay City
Distance 3: 115 km WSW of Lucena City, Quezon
Distance 4: 140 km WNW of Boac, Marinduque
Distance 5: 125 km SW of Metro Manila
Distance 6: 135 km S of Subic Bay, Zmabales
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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