WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT (RUBY) UPDATE NUMBER 023
Issued at: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Tuesday 09 December 2014
Next Update: Monday Mid-Morning, 09 December 2014
Tropical Storm HAGUPIT (RUBY) weakens anew, as it trailed on the Verde Island Passage, along Batangas and Balayan Bay...expected to emerge along the West Philippine Sea Tuesday morning.
This storm will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Southern and Central Luzon should closely monitor the development of Hagupit (Ruby).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Marinduque, Mindoro, Southern Quezon incl. Polilio Is., Rizal and Eastern Laguna - today until tomorrow, Tuesday (Dec 09).
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Camarines Norte, Batangas, Cavite, Western Laguna, Metro Manila, Bulacan, Bataan, Pampanga, Zambales, Tarlac, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija and Aurora - today until tomorrow, Tuesday (Dec 09).
- Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-110 kph): Marinduque, Southern Quezon, Batangas incl. Lubang Island, and northern portions of Oriental and Occidental Mindoro - until early tomorrow morning, Tuesday (Dec 09).
- Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of Mindoro, Laguna and Cavite - until early tomorrow morning, Tuesday (Dec 09).
- Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1.8-2.6 m (6-8 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Marinduque, Southern Quezon, Batangas incl. Lubang Island, and northern portions of Oriental and Occidental Mindoro today and/or tomorrow. Moderate damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Rest of Southern Luzon Provinces. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 PM PhT today...1500 GMT...Dec 08.
Classification/Name: TS Hagupit (Ruby)
Location: Over the Verde Island Passage (near 13.5N 121.0E)
About: 10 km North of Puerto Galera...or 20 km south of Batangas City, Batangas
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 25 to 200 mm [Slight to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 670 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West @ 09 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 14 kph
Towards: Lubang Island
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to move west slowly, with an increase in its forward speed throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, TS Hagupit (Ruby) shall exit the Verde Island Passage on Monday..emerging over the West Philippine Sea. Hagupit shall then exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday morning.
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue to slowly weaken throughout the outlook period, as it interacts with the land masses of the southern provinces of Southern Luzon and the entrainment of cold-dry air from the Northeasterlies/Northeast Monsoon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 65 kph by Wednesday morning.
The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
TUESDAY EVENING: Emerges over the West Philippine Sea after traversing the Verde Island Passage...about 220 km west-southwest of Lubang Island [8PM DEC 09: 13.5N 118.2E @ 75kph].
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Continues losing strength as it moves across the South China Sea...just barely a Tropical Storm (TS)...exits PAR...about 250 km north-northwest of Pagasa Island [8PM DEC 10: 13.3N 113.9E @ 65kph]. .
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Mon Dec 08, 2014
Location of Center: Near 13.5º N Lat 121.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 30 km NW of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro
Distance 2: 70 km S of Tagaytay City
Distance 3: 70 km SW of Lucena City, Quezon
Distance 4: 85 km W of Boac, Marinduque
Distance 5: 95 km ESE of Lubang Island
Distance 6: 120 km S of Metro Manila
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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