WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT (RUBY) UPDATE NUMBER 025
Issued at: 1:30 PM PhT (05:30 GMT) Tuesday 09 December 2014
Next Update: Tuesday Evening, 09 December 2014
HAGUPIT (RUBY) is now over the West Philippine Sea as it starts to slowly leave the country...rainbands associated with this cyclone are still bringing light to moderate to occasionally heavy rains across some parts of Central and Southern Tagalog Provinces.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Southern and Central Luzon should closely monitor the development of Hagupit (Ruby).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
RAINFALL
- Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Cavite, Mindoro and Western Batangas incl. Lubang Island - today until tomorrow morning, Wednesday (Dec 10).
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Laguna, Rizal, Metro Manila, most parts of Quezon incl. Polilio Island, Marinduque, Bulacan, Pampanga, Southern Zambales and Bataan - today until tomorrow morning, Wednesday (Dec 10).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT...Dec 09.
Classification/Name: TS Hagupit (Ruby)
Location: Over the central-eastern edge of the West Philippine Sea (near 13.6N 120.0E)
About: 100 km west-northwest of Puerto Galera...or 30 km southwest of Lubang Island
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 25 to 90 mm [Slight to Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 670 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West @ 9 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 20 kph
Towards: West Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue to move westward with increasing speed during the next 24 hours...turning west-southwest slightly through 48 hours. On the forecast track, TS Hagupit (Ruby) shall traverse the West Philippine Sea...and shall exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Wednesday afternoon.
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue to weaken throughout the outlook period due ot the entrainment of cold-dry air of the Northeasterlies. It shall be downgraded into a Tropical Depression by Thursday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Thursday morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
WEDNESDAY MORNING: Weakens further as it moves west with increasing speed across the West Philippine Sea...about 350 km northeast of Pagasa Island [8AM DEC 10: 13.7N 116.1E @ 65kph].
THURSDAY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Depression...as it approaches the southeastern coasts of Southern Vietnam...about 320 km northeast of Nha Trang, Vietnam [8AM DEC 11: 13.4N 111.9E @ 55kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Weakens further and dissipating overland...as it traverses Southern Vietnam...about 150 km west-southwest of Nha Trang, Vietnam [8AM DEC 12: 12.1N 107.9E @ 45kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Tue Dec 09, 2014
Location of Center: Near 13.6º N Lat 120.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 110 km WSW of Batangas City
Distance 2: 110 km SW of Tagaytay City
Distance 3: 165 km WSW of Lucena City, Quezon
Distance 4: 195 km WNW of Boac, Marinduque
Distance 5: 155 km SW of Metro Manila
Distance 6: 135 km SSW of Subic Bay, Zmabales
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS HAGUPIT...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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