Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon HAGUPIT (RUBY) Update #015

for Saturday, 06 December 2014 [8:08 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON HAGUPIT (RUBY) UPDATE NUMBER 015
Issued at: 1:30 AM PhT (17:30 GMT) Saturday 06 December 2014
Next Update: Sunday Mid-Morning, 07 December 2014

Typhoon HAGUPIT (RUBY) is now making landfall over the shores of Dolores, Eastern Samar...weakens anew.

This typhoon will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Southern Luzon, Visayas and Northeastern Mindanao should closely monitor the development of Hagupit (Ruby).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

Heavy to Extreme Rains (150 mm or more): Samar Provinces, Leyte, Sorsogon, Albay, Masbate, Romblon, northern portions of Capiz and Iloilo, extreme northern part of Negros Occidental, and Northern Cebu. - tonight through Sunday afternoon (Dec 07). Read more...

Heavy Rains (100 mm to 150 mm): Southern part of Camarines Sur, Aklan incl. Tablas Is., rest of Capiz and Iloilo, rest of northern part of Negros Occidental, northern portion of Southern Cebu, Bohol, Southern Leyte, and Dinagat and Siargao Islands. - tonight through Sunday evening (Dec 07). Read more...

Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Rest of Bicol, Southern Quezon, rest of Visayas, and Northeastern Mindanao. - beginning Saturday morning Dec (06) through Sunday evening (Dec 07). Read more...

WINDS

Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Most parts of Samar Provinces, Sorsogon, Southen Albay, Masbate, Burias and Ticao Islands, Biliran Island, and eastern portions of Romblon - beginning Saturday afternoon (Dec 06) until Sunday afternoon (Dec 07). Read more...

Tropical Storm to Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Rest of Albay, Southern Camarines Sur (Rinconada), Virac, Catanduanes Area, Rest of Romblon, Northern Coastal Areas of Panay, portions of Northern Cebu incl. Bantayan Island, Leyte, and some portions of Southern Samar - beginning Saturday afternoon (Dec 06) until Sunday afternoon (Dec 07). Read more...

Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Camarines Norte, Rest of Camarines Sur incl. Metro Naga, Eatern portions of Southern Quezon incl. Bondoc Peninsula, Marinduque, some portions of Northern Panay, Rest of Northern Cebu, some portions of Central Cebu incl. Cebu City, Southern Leyte, and some portions of Dinagat Islands - beginning Saturday evening (Dec 06) until Sunday evening (Dec 07). Read more...

STORM SURGE

Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 2.7-3.9 m (9-12 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern and Southern Bicol Region beginning Saturday afternoon onwards. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Surigao del Norte, Rest of Visayas, Ragay Gulf, Visayan Sea and Eastern Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT today...1500 GMT...Dec 06.

Classification/Name: TY Hagupit (Ruby)
Location: Over the town of Dolores, Eastern Samar (near 11.9N 125.6E)
About: 40 km northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar...or 100 km northeast of Tacloban City, Leyte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 185 kph near the center...Gustiness: 220 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center outwards): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 941 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 865 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 120 km from the Center
Past Movement: West-Southwest @ 13 kph
Forecast Movement: West to WNW @ 13 kph
Towards: Western Samar-Ticao-Masbate Area

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to move slowly west-northwestward throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TY Hagupit (Ruby) will emerge of the Samar Sea Sunday morning...then move along Ticao Island and Northern Masbate on Sunday evening, and on its way towards Romblon, crossing North-Central Mindoro on Monday evening.

TY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue to gradually weaken throughout the outlook period as it interacts with the land masses of the Visayas and Bicol Peninsula...its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 130 kph by Monday evening.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

SUNDAY EVENING: Weakens after crossing Eastern Visyas...about 50 km west-northwest of Masbate City, Masbate [8PM DEC 07: 12.5N 123.2E @ 150kph].
MONDAY EVENING: Weakens further as it traverses the central part of Mindoro Island...about 55 km southwest of Puerto Galera, [8PM DEC 08: 13.2N 130.7E @ 120kph].
TUESDAY EVENING: Downgraded into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea...about 270 km west-southwest of Lubang Island [8PM DEC 09: 13.3N 118.5E @ 110kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sat Dec 06, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 11.9º N Lat 125.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 100 km N of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 110 km ESE of Calbayog City, Samar
Distance 3: 130 km SE of Catarman, Northern Samar
Distance 4: 210 km SE of Sorsogon City
Distance 5: 225 km ESE of Masbate City
Distance 6: 320 km SE of Metro Naga

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY HAGUPIT (RUBY)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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