for Monday, 30 August 2010 [5:30 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon August 30 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TY KOMPASU (GLENDA) located to the SE of Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands.
KOMPASU (GLENDA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 100 kph
TYPHOON KOMPASU [GLENDA/08W/1007]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Mon 30 August 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #07/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
KOMPASU (GLENDA) strengthens into a Typhoon and slows down...threat to Okinawa increases.
Residents and visitors along the islands of Ryukyus and Okinawa should closely monitor the progress of KOMPASU.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 2 days)* EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 to 5 days)*
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Mon Aug 30 2010
Location of Center: 23.7º N Lat 131.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 465 km (250 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 725 km (392 nm) ESE of Ishigaki, Japan
Distance 3: 1,030 km (555 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
Present Movement: NW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Ryukyus-Okinawa Area
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 240 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-5 feet [0.3-1.7 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Mon Aug 30
TY KOMPASU is expected to continue moving generally northwesterly within the next 2 days and strengthen further...will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning [2AM AUG 31: 24.5N 130.2E @ 130kph]. Its eye will pass over Okinawa Island tomorrow afternoon between 4-5PM Japan Time [2PM AUG 31: 26.2N 128.3E @ 150kph]. KOMPASU will reach Category 2 as it moves away from Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands...going into the warm waters of the East China Sea Wednesday afternoon [2PM SEP 01: 30.4N 124.9E @ 165kph].
Current Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are now near 120 km/hr (65 kts) with higher gusts. Typhoon Force Winds (120 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 10 kilometers (5 nautical miles) from the center...while Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 110 kilometers (60 nautical miles).
THURSDAY MORNING: KOMPASU (GLENDA) downgraded to a Tropical Storm while approaching the west coast of South Korea...begins recurving towards the NE [2PM SEP 02: 34.6N 125.2E @ 110kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Over the Sea of Japan after crossing the northern part of South Korea...becoming Extratropical [2PM SEP 03: 39.8N 130.2E @ 65kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Over Hokkaido, Japan as it becomes Extratropical [2PM SEP 04: 42.3N 140.5E @ 45kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS
KOMPASU's circulation continues to become more compact and stronger...a developing cloud-filled eye has also been observed. The advanced outer rain bands are expected to spread across Okinawa and Ryukyus throughout the evening. Tropical Storm Conditions will reach Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands tomorrow morning or noontime...increasing to Typhoon Conditions later in the afternoon Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 240 mm (heavy) near the center of Kompasu. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Under Tropical Storm Conditions, storm surge heights may reach 1 to 3 feet (0.3 to 0.9 meters) above ground level w/ large and dangerous battering waves...increasing to 4 or 5 feet (1.2-1.7 meters) during Typhoon Conditions...especially along the beaches of Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands beginning tomorrow morning.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TY KOMPASU (GLENDA)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0710.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT
THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING
(TCB). ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. THE
CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE OF DVORAK
ESTIMATE FIXES FROM RJTD AND PGTW. TY 08W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING UNDER
THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A DEEP SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ENTRENCHED
SOUTH OF JAPAN. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD
OVER OKINAWA INTO THE EAST CHINA SEA BEFORE RECURVING TOWARDS THE
KOREAN PENINSULA AFTER TAU 48. DURING THIS SEGMENT OF THE FORECAST,
THE SYSTEM WILL REACH PEAK INTENSITY AT 90 KNOTS. BY TAU 72, TY 08W
WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, CROSS THE CENTRAL REGION OF THE
KOREAN PENINSULA, AND EXIT INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN. THE AVAILABLE
NUMERIC GUIDANCE ARE IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT UP TO TAU 48, AFTER
WHICH THE MODELS SPREAD OUT SLIGHTLY, WITH ECMWF DEPICTING A WIDER
RECURVE INTO NORTH KOREA...(more)
>> KOMPASU, meaning: Circinus; a V-shaped device for describing circles or circular arcs. Name contributed by: Japan.
RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY KOMPASU (GLENDA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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