Wednesday, August 11, 2010

TS DIANMU [ESTER] now moving away from Busan City... [Update #13]

 


for Wednesday, 11 August 2010 [12:13 PM PhT]


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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed August 11 2010):

Tropical Wave (Remnants of LPA 99W) bringing scattered to widespread rains across Bicol Region and the whole of Visayas. Meanwhile, we are currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS DIANMU (ESTER).


DIANMU (ESTER) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 90 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph

TROPICAL STORM DIANMU [ESTER/05W/1004]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013

12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wed 11 August 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #013/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
  • Tropical Storm DIANMU (ESTER) just made landfall off the Southernmost point of South Korea a few hours ago...now just to the east of Busan City...accelerating ENE into the Sea of Japan.

    *Residents and visitors along South Korea and smaller islets along the Sea of Japan should closely monitor the progress of DIANMU (ESTER).

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Wed Aug 11 2010
    Location of Center: 35.1º N Lat 129.4º E Lon
    Distance 1: 25 km (13 nm) East of Busan, S.Korea
    Distance 2: 210 km (113 nm) North of Sasebo, Japan
    Distance 3: 285 km (155 nm) WNW of Hiroshima, Japan
    Distance 4: 315 km (170 nm) ENE of Cheju Is., S.Korea
    Distance 5: 345 km (187 nm) SE of Seoul
    MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 100 mm [Moderate]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
    Present Movement: ENE @ 37 kph (20 kts)
    Towards: Sea of Japan
    Size (in Diameter): 590 km (320 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): XX ft (X.X m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-4 feet [0-1.2 m]
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Wed Aug 11

    + Forecast Outlook: DIANMU is expected to accelerate further ENE-ward within the next few hours and will exit the Sea of Japan this afternoon and begin Extratropical transition. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast Track shows DIANMU moving across the central part of the Sea of Japan tomorrow morning [8AM AUG 12: 38.7N 135.0E @ 65kph] and will attain Extratropical status tomorrow evening [8PM AUG 12: 40.5N 140.7E @ 65kph]] upon crossing Northern Honshu (Japan). It shall be over the Kuril Island Chain on Friday as a weakening Extratropical Storm [8AM AUG 13: 44.0N 147.3E @ 55kph]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: DIANMU's circulation has started to weaken as it covers South Korea and portions of Kyushu, Japan. Its inner bands continues to spread across Busan District and along the Southern and SE areas of South Korea...while, its outer bands remains across the whole of South Korea, portions of Kyushu, Sea of Japan and Western Shikoku. Gale to Tropical Storm Force Winds from 55 to 75 kph with higher gusts can be expected within the inner bands' diameter. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 40 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 100 mm (moderate) near the center of DIANMU. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]


    External Links for TS DIANMU (ESTER)

    View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

    Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
    JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0510.gif
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs Ahead
    NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
    EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02



  • JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

  • REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) WED 11 AUGUST POSITION: 35.2N 127.9E.
    *INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, NOW ELONGATED
    TO THE NORTHEAST, HAS BECOME FRAGMENTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH SOUTH
    KOREA'S SOUTHERN TERRAIN AND EXPOSURE TO INCREASED WESTERLY VERTICAL
    WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE STORM'S INTENSITY HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY
    DETERIORATED DUE TO GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-
    LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN
    THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY FROM KYUSHU, JAPAN, AND
    FROM NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS EXTRAPO-
    LATED FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INCLUDING 35-KNOT
    SUSTAINED WINDS FROM CHINHAE. TS 05W HAS CRESTED THE NORTHWESTERN
    PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND IS NOW EMBEDDED IN THE
    MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES...
    (
    more)

    >> DIANMU, meaning: Mother of lightningName contributed by: China.
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART
    :

    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

    RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
    :


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS DIANMU (ESTER)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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