Saturday, August 07, 2010

TD 96W [ESTER] - Update #02


for Saturday, 07 August 2010 [6:36 PM PhT]

click to get RSS data

<<< Mobile >>>
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on ESTER!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.

powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat August 07 2010):

Now issuing 6-hrly web advisiories (except 12 AM PhT) on the newly-developed TD 96W (ESTER).


+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr


6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Sat 07 August 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
  • Tropical Depression 96W (ESTER) standstill east of Batanes...its center remains north of its intense rain convection. Monsoon rains (aka. "Habagat") continues to prevail across Luzon & Western Visayas including Palawan & Metro Manila.

    *Residents and visitors along Taiwan, Ryukyu-Yaeyama Islands, Cagayan, Calayan-Babuyan-Batanes & Ilocos Provinces should closely monitor the progress of 96W (ESTER).

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Fri Jul 23 2010
    Location of Center: 20.7º N Lat 124.5º E Lon
    Distance 1: 270 km (145 nm) East of Basco, Batanes
    Distance 2: 350 km (190 nm) ENE of Calayan Island
    Distance 3: 395 km (213 nm) NE of Aparri, Cagayan
    Distance 4: 475 km (255 nm) SE of Hualien, Taiwan
    Distance 5: 735 km (397 nm) SW of Okinawa, Japan
    MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
    Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
    Towards: Philippine Sea
    Size (in Diameter): 400 km (215 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft (2.4 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    T2K TrackMap #002 (for Public): 6 PM PhT Sat Aug 07

    + Forecast Outlook: 96W is expected to remain quasi-stationary for the next 6 hours and then track NW to NNW slowly for the next 24 hours in the direction of Taiwan's Eastern Coast. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: 96W's circulation is currently over the Northern Philippine Sea and continues to pull the Southwest Monsoon across the Philippines. Its outer bands continues to affect NE Luzon - moderate to strong winds of up to 45 kph w/ occasional rains can be expected along Calayan Islands, Balintang Channel, Batanes & Babuyan Group, Coastal Northern Cagayan & Ilocos Norte. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing moderate to heavy rains can be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN-CENTRAL-WESTERN LUZON, METRO MANILA, PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP, MINDORO, WESTERN VISAYAS, MASBATE & WESTERN BICOL. Light to moderate SW winds (not in excess of 50 kph) can be expected along these areas. Large ocean waves of 7 to 8 feet along the beach-front areas of the affected areas are likely to occur today. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    Weak Tropical Disturbance 98W (LPA/1010 MB) drifting WNW across the South China Sea, closer to Hainan Island. Located near lat 18.0N lon 113.0E...or about 805 km West of Laoag City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 25 kph near the center...moving WNW @ 20 kph. This system has a 30% chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone w/in the next 24 to 48 hours.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

    PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warnings Signals

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning

    The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight & tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

    Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

    External Links for TD 96W (ESTER)

    View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

    Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time


  • REMARKS (for Meteorologists)




    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 

      * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:


    For the complete details on TD 96W (ESTER)...go visit our website @:


    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 

    Copyright © 2010     All Rights Reserved

    Recent Activity:

    Stay on top of your group activity without leaving the page you're on - Get the Yahoo! Toolbar now.

    Get great advice about dogs and cats. Visit the Dog & Cat Answers Center.

    Hobbies & Activities Zone: Find others who share your passions! Explore new interests.



    No comments: