Sunday, September 11, 2016

Typhoon MERANTI (FERDIE) Update Number 001


Typhoon MERANTI (FERDIE) Update Number 001

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday 11 September 2016
Next Update: Monday Morning, 12 September 2016


Current Status

Tropical Storm MERANTI which formed to the west of Guam a couple of days ago has intensified into a Typhoon and  entered the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It carries now the local name "FERDIE" and may pose a threat to Extreme Northern Luzon in the coming days.

Where is Meranti (Ferdie)?

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 11...0900 GMT. The center was located along the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea (near 17.1N 133.6E), about 1,229 km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora or 1,278 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 120 kph near the center...Gustiness: 150 kph

Where is it heading?

West-Northwest @ 23 kph, towards the North Philippine Sea.

What areas will be most affected?

Batanes-Calayan-Babuyan Group of Islands - beginning Wednesday morning (Sep 14).

Storm Surge Info


2-Day Forecast Outlook

TY MERANTI (FERDIE) is expected to move generally west-northwest throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, MERANTI (FERDIE) will be moving across the southern and western portions of the North Philippine Sea on Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon (Sep 13).


TY MERANTI (FERDIE) is expected to intensify further through the Tuesday afternoon (Sep 13) with forecasted maximum sustained winds of 215 km/hr.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*

MONDAY AFTERNOON:  Over the southern part of the North Philippine Sea, still gaining strength...about 759 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan [2PM SEP 12: 18.7N 129.3E @ 165kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

TUESDAY AFTERNOON:  Over the west-central part of the North Philippine Sea, reaches its peak intensity...about 281 km east of Basco, Batanes [2PM SEP 13: 20.5N 124.7E @ 215kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

WEDNESDAY  AFTERNOON:  Weakens slightly as it pepares to make landfall over Southeastern Taiwan…just along the coast, about 242 km north-northwest of Basco, Batanes [2PM SEP 14: 22.6N 121.4E @ 205kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlookchanges every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while thewind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 310 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 525 km (Small)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):75 km from the center.

Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Sep 11, 2016
Location of Center: Near 17.1º N Lat 133.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 1060 km ENE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1190 km E of Palanan, Isabela 
Distance 3: 1227 km ESE of Santa Ana, Cagayan 
Distance 4: 1264 km ESE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan 
Distance 5: 1378 km ENE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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