Friday, September 16, 2016

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 006


Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 006

Issued at: 06:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Friday 16 September 2016
Next Update: Saturday Early Morning, 17 September 2016


Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) has maintained its strength as it tracks off Northwest just East-Northeast of Basco, Batanes or near the Easternmost edge of the Bashi Channel. Its westernmost outer feederrainbands are still affecting the far Northeastern side of Batanes Island Group, including the Northernmost parts of the Babuyan Island Group.

However, this Typhoon is forecast to intensify further as it moves parallel to the far East of Taiwan, before bending Polewards and a more North-northeasterly jog while slowing down within the next 24 hours, cruising along the East Sea region.

Malakas shall pass over the Western Yaeyama Island Chain just before Saturday noon (Sep 17)…and immediately moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Saturday afternoon.

Where is Malakas(Gener)?

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 16...0900 GMT.The cloud-filled eye was located over the western part of the North Philippine Sea (near 21.6 123.7), about 216 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes or 381 km North-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan.

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center...Gustiness: 185 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving West-northwest @ 18 kph, towards the East Taiwan Sea and Western Yaeyama Island Chain.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected.





Storm Surge Info

Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 meters (3 to 8 feet) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas ofBatanes Island Group - through Saturday early morning (Sep 17).

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Exits the Northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while passing well to the East of Taiwan, in the vicinity of East Taiwan Sea approaching the Western Yaeyama Islands. Reaches its peak wind intensity while tracking Poleward to North-northeastward away from the North Philippine Sea...about 172 km Northeast of Hualien, Taiwan [2PM SEP 17: 25.13N 122.76E @ 185kph]. Confidence Level:HIGH.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Slows down and starts a Northeastward jog over the East Sea. Its maximum sustained winds starts to weaken…about 426 km Northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM SEP 18: 27.93N 124.38E @ 155kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Starts to accelerate northeastward across the East Sea region while losing steam and in strength…about 272 km West of Amami-o-shima [2PM SEP 19: 28.71 126.63E @ 130kph].Confidence Level: LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 350 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 380 km (Small)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):110 km from the center.

Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Fri Sep 16, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 21.6º N Lat 123.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 213 km ENE of Itbayat, Batanes 
Distance 2: 418 km NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 487 km NNE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 4: 438 km SSE of Taipei, Taiwan 
Distance 5: 826 km NNE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Adonis S. Manzan for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.



No comments: