Monday, September 26, 2016

Typhoon MEGI (HELEN) Update Number 006


Typhoon MEGI (HELEN) Update Number 006

Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Monday 26 September 2016
Next Update: Monday Afternoon, 26 September 2016


Current Status and Outlook

MEGI (HELEN) has maintained its strength as it continues to move West-Northwestward with increased forward speed. Its outer rain bands are expected to spread across the eastern section of Extreme Northern Luzon later today.  

This typhoon is forecast to continue moving West-Northwestward within the next 24 hours at a speed of 21 km/hr in the general direction of Southern Taiwan, and will likely gain more strength during this period.

Where is Megi (Helen)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 26...2100 GMT. The cloud-filled eye was located over the mid-western part of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.7N 127.6E), about 584 km east of Basco, Batanes or 622 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan.

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 155 kph near the center...Gustiness: 190 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving West-Northwest @ 21 kph across the western part of the North Philippine Sea.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected.

Batanes Group of Islands - beginning later tonight until Tuesday evening (Sep 27).




Storm Surge Info


3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Tracking west-northwest towards the Bashi Channel as it intensifies...about 284 km northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM SEP 27: 22.4N 123.8E @ 170kph]Confidence LevelHIGH.

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS) after crossing Southern Taiwan…just off the southern coast of Fujian Province, China…about 85 km east-southeast of Xiamen City, China [2AM SEP 28: 24.3N 118.9E @105kph].  Confidence Level:  MEDIUM.

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Traverses Southern Fujian through Southern Jiangxi and weakens into a Tropical Depression (TD)…about 345 km west of Xiamen City, China [2AM SEP 29: 24.8N 114.7E @ 60kph].  Confidence Level:  LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 210 mm [Moderate to Heavy]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 810 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):220 km from the center.

Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Sep 26, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 20.7º N Lat 127.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 600 km E of Itbayat, Batanes 
Distance 2: 684 km NE of 
Palanan, Isabela
Distance 3: 706 km ENE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 4: 782 km ESE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 5: 970 km NE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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