Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Tropical Disturbance 96W (LPA) StormWatch No. 01

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Tropical Disturbance 96W (LPA) StormWatch No. 01

The broad Tropical Disturbance 96W (LPA) which formed to the southeast of Guam a couple of days ago is now showing signs of organization and is likely to become a significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 6 to 24 hours.Based on the latest Global Dynamic Forecast Models (GDFM), the tropical system is expected to enter the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday afternoon, Sept 24. The Day 4-5 (Sep 26-27) forecast as of today, has showed that this system shall pass in between Southern Taiwan and Extreme Northern Luzon. However, the confidence level of this forecast is low and could still change.

As of 5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) today, Thursday, September 22, 2016, the LPA was located approximately 406 km southwest of Guam or 1,767 km east of Visayas, Philippines [11.1N 141.9E]...with maximum sustained winds of 35-40 kph near the center. It was moving West-Northwest @ 33 kph towards easternmost part of the Philippine Sea.

LPA 96W is still too far away to directly affect the Philippines.

Please monitor the situation closely and stay tuned for the latest info on LPA 96W. The next WeatherPhilippines StormWatch on this system will be issued tomorrow evening (Fri Sept 23).

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>

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