Saturday, September 17, 2016

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 008


Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 008

Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Saturday 17 September 2016
Next Update: Saturday Afternoon, 17 September 2016


Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) continues to intensify as it veers northward across the East Taiwan Sea, closer to the Yaeyama Island Chain.

This typhoon is forecast to continue moving North with a forward speed of 17 kph within the next 24 hours towards the East China Sea, passing over theYaeyama Island Chain on or before noon today…and exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon.

Where is Malakas(Gener)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 17...2100 GMT.  The cloud-filled eye was located over the southeastern part of the East Taiwan Sea (near 23.6N 123.0E), about 159 km east-southeast ofHualien, Taiwan or 365 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 200 kph near the center...Gustiness: 240 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving North @ 18 kph, towards theYaeyama Island Chain.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of  >100 km/hr will be expected.





Storm Surge Info


3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Starts to weaken after moving out of PAR in a northerly track...about 222 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM SEP 18: 26.7N 122.8E @ 180kph]. Confidence Level:  HIGH.

MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to gradually lose strength as it slows down and veers to the northeast across the southern part of the East China Sea…about 390 km    east-northeast of Wenzhou, China [2AM SEP 19: 28.7N 124.6E @140kph] Confidence Level HIGH.

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains it strength and direction as it starts to accelerate over the southeastern part of the East China Sea…about 237 km west-southwest of Kagoshima, Japan [2AM SEP 20: 30.9N 128.2E @ 140kph]Confidence Level MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 510 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 630 km (Small)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 110 km from the center.

Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat Sep 17, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.6º N Lat 123.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 338 km NNE of Itbayat, Batanes 
Distance 2: 135 km SW of Ishigakijima
Distance 3: 222 km SE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 575 km N of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1019 km NNE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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