Saturday, September 17, 2016

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 007


Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) Update Number 007

Issued at: 1:15 AM PhT (17:15 GMT) Saturday 17 September 2016
Next Update: Saturday Morning, 17 September 2016


Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon MALAKAS (GENER) has intensified further as it moves northwestward across across the East Taiwan Sea, closer to the Yaeyama Island Chain.

This typhoon is forecast turn North-Northwest with a slight decrease in forward speed (17 kph) within the next 24 hours, and shall pass over the Yaeyama Island Chain on or before noon today…and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon.

Where is Malakas (Gener)?

As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, September 16...1500 GMT.  The cloud-filled eye was located over the southern part of the East Taiwan Sea (near 22.5N 123.1E), about226 km southeast of Hualien, Taiwan or 250 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 185 kph near the center...Gustiness: 230 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving Northwest @ 19 kph, towards the Yaeyama Island Chain.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected.





Storm Surge Info

Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 meters (3 to 10 feet) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas ofBatanes Group of Islands – until this morning.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SATURDAY EVENING: Starts to weaken as it moves out of PAR in a recurvature track....about 119 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [8PM SEP 17: 25.7N 122.6E @ 185kph].Confidence Level:  MEDIUM.

SUNDAY EVENING: Slows down as it tracks Northeastward across the southern part of the East China Sea, with decreasing intensity…about 315 km    east-southeast of Wenzhou, China [8PM SEP 18: 27.3N 123.7E @150kph].  Confidence Level:  LOW.

MONDAY EVENING: Starts to accelerate east-northeastward over the southeastern part of the East China Sea…about 295 km north-northwest of Basco, Batanes [8PM SEP 19: 29.0N 126.8E @ 140kph]. Confidence Level:  LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 310 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 941 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 600 km (Small)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):110 km from the center.

Additional Distances

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Fri Sep 16, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 22.5º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 232 km NE of Itbayat, Batanes 
Distance 2: 254 km SSW of Ishigaki Jima
Distance 3: 312 km SSE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 454 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 903 km NNE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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