Friday, September 30, 2016

Tropical Storm CHABA StormWatch No. 02

 

Tropical Storm CHABA StormWatch No. 02


TROPICAL STORM CHABA STORMWATCH NUMBER 002
Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Friday 30 September 2016
Next Update: Saturday Afternoon, 01 October 2016

 

Current Status and Outlook

CHABA has intensified into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it continues to move westerly across the open waters of the Western Pacific Ocean.

This storm is forecast to turn West-Northwest to Northwestward within the next 24 hours towards the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea, and is likely to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday morning or afternoon (Oct 01).

Where is Chaba?

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, September 30...0300 GMT. The center was located over the waters east of the Central Philippine Sea (near 13.9N 138.1E), about 725 km west of Guam or 1,480 km east of Bicol Region, PHL. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving West @ 19 kph, towards the easternmost part of the Central Philippine Sea.

Forecast Highlights

- Chaba is expected to become a Typhoon (TY) tomorrow morning (Sat, Oct 01).

- Chaba remains not a threat to the country.

- Chaba is forecast to just enter the PAR on Saturday (Oct 01) & exit on Monday (Oct 03).

- Chaba shall just pass along the open waters of the Central and North Philippine Seas, and will be between 650-700 km from Batanes Group of Islands on Monday morning, Oct 03.  Its circulation will remain at sea, far away from the Philippine Landmass.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Tropical Depression CHABA StormWatch No. 01

 

Tropical Depression CHABA StormWatch No. 01


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHABA STORMWATCH NUMBER 001
Issued at: 2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Thursday 29 September 2016
Next Update: Friday Afternoon, 30 September 2016

 

Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression (TD) CHABA which moved across the Western Pacific Ocean over the past few days has just passed over the Northern Mariana Islands last night.

This depression is forecast to move West-Northwest towards the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea, and is likely to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday morning (Oct 01).

Where is Chaba?

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, September 29...0300 GMT. The ill-defined center was located over the sea west of the Northern Mariana Islands (near 14.0N 142.3E),about 276 km west-northwest of Guam or 1,932 km east of Bicol Region, PHL. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving West @ 24 kph, towards the easternmost part of the Central Philippine Sea.

Forecast Highlights

- Chaba is expected to become a Tropical Storm (TS) later tonight or Friday (Sept 30).

- Chaba is not a threat to the country.

- Chaba is forecast to just enter PAR on Oct 01 & exit on Oct 03.

- Chaba shall just pass along the open waters of the North Philippine Sea, between 700-800 km away from Batanes Group of Islands.  Its circulation will remain at sea.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Tropical Storm MEGI (HELEN) Final Update

 

Tropical Storm MEGI (HELEN) Final Update


TROPICAL STORM MEGI (HELEN) UPDATE NUMBER 013**FINAL**
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 28 September 2016

 

Current Status and Outlook

MEGI (HELEN) is now outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and has weakened into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it makes its last landfall over Fujian Province in Southeastern China.

MEGI (HELEN) will rapidly dissipate and eventually become just a remnant low pressure over the mountains of Southeastern China within the next 24 hours.

This is the Final Update on this Tropical Cyclone.

Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat)will still bring occasional rains with thunderstorms and gusty winds not exceeding 40 km/hr across the Western Sections of Central Luzon including Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, and Western Visayas today. Sea travel for small to medium size sea crafts at this time will be risky across the area.

Where is Megi (Helen)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, September 28...2100 GMT. The center was located over Fujian Province, China (near 25.3N 118.5E), about 98 km north-northeast of Xiamen City, China or 637 km northwest of Basco, Batanes. 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 90 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph

Where is it heading?

It was moving West-Northwest @ 17 kph, across Fujian Province, Southeastern China.

What Philippine areas will be most affected?*

*Where Damaging Winds of >100 km/hr will be expected.

None.

 

 

Storm Surge Info

None.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipates into a remnant area of low pressure while moving westward across the mountains if Fujian Province...about 216 km west-northwest of Xiamen City, China [2AM SEP 29: 25.4N 116.2E @ 30kph]. Confidence Level:  HIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info


- 24 hr. Rainfall Accumulation: 25 to 400 mm [Moderate to Extreme]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 975 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 695 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):N/A.

Additional Distances


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Sept 28, 2016
Location of Center/Eye: Near 25.3º N Lat 118.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 120 km SW of Fuzhou, China 
Distance 2: 314 km WNW of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 550 km ENE of Hong Kong, China
Distance 4: 819 km NNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 1229 km NNW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___

Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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