Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS LINFA (EGAY) Final Update

Tropical Storm LINFA [EGAY] Final Update

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM LINFA (EGAY) UPDATE NUMBER 013 [FINAL]
Issued at: 7:45 PM PhT (11:45 GMT) Tuesday 07 July 2015

Tropical Storm LINFA (EGAY) has re-intensified while over the northern part of the South China Sea as it shifted its course to the northwest...slowly leaving the country.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon that will bring occasional rains with moderate winds of 20-50 kph across the western provinces of Northern and Central Luzon tonight and tomorrow. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Meanwhile, at 5:00 pm today, Typhoon CHAN-HOM was located some 1,423 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan or about 1,465 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes (18.4N 135.7E)... with maximum sustained winds of 140 kph near the center and gustiness up to 175 kph. It was moving West-Northwestward at 25 kph during the past 6 hours in the general direction of Northern Taiwan-Yaeyama-Ryukyus Area.

*This is the last and final update on TS Linfa (Egay).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

None.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 07...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS LINFA (EGAY)
Location: Over the northern part of the South China Sea (near 20.7N 118.6E)
About: 350 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 340 km west-northwest of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the center): 100 to 500 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 600 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 08 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 08 kph
Towards: Taiwan Strait

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS LINFA (EGAY) is expected to turn its course to the north-northwest during the next 24 hours...slightly accelerates as it shifts back to northwest on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, LINFA will be traversing Taiwan Strait on Wednesday (Jul 08) through Thursday (Jul 09)...making landfall along the coast of Shantou City, China in the morning.

TS LINFA (EGAY) will continue to regain strength within the next 24 through 36 hours...and shall rapidly weaken after making landfall over Southeastern China. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 95 kph by Wednesday afternoon (Jul 08).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Re-intensifies further as it traverses Taiwan Strait...about 205 km southeast of Shantou City, China [2PM JUL 08: 22.2N 118.2E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens after making landfall along the eastern coast of Guandong Province, China...about 85 km northwest of Shantou City, China [2PM JUL 09: 23.9N 116.1E @ 65kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating into an area of Low Pressure Area over Northern Guandong, China...about 220 km northwest of Macau City, China [2PM JUL 10: 23.7N 112.1E @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Jul 07, 2015
Location of Center: Near 20.7º N Lat 118.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 335 km NW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 2: 395 km NW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 3: 355 km W of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 530 km NNW of Baguio City, Benguet
Distance 5: 735 km NNW of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph