for Thursday, 07 May 2015 [9:50 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON NOUL (DODONG) UPDATE NUMBER 009
Issued at: 1:30 PM PhT (05:30 GMT) Thursday 07 May 2015
Next Update: Thursday Evening, 07 May 2015
Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) gaining more strength and speed as it traverses the Eastern Philippine Sea...continues to pose a threat to Samar and Bicol Provinces...likely to pass close to Catanduanes by late Saturday afternoon and evening (May 9).
Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas and Eastern Luzon incl. the Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of NOUL (DODONG).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.
None for the next 24 hours.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 AM PhT today, May 07...0300 GMT.
Classification/Name: TY NOUL (DODONG)
Location: Over the Eastern Philippine Sea (near 11.0N 133.6E)
About: 860 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar...or 1,050 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 160 kph near the center...Gustiness: 195 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 795 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 75 km West from the center and 65 km East from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 24 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 18 kph
Towards: Eastern Luzon
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to continue moving west-northwest throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will traverse the south-central part of the Philippine Sea on Friday morning and shall be approaching the eastern coast of Catanduanes by Saturday morning (May 09).
NOUL (DODONG) will continue to intensify throughout the forecast period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 195 kph on Saturday morning (May 9).
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:
FRIDAY MORNING: Continues to intensify as it maintains its west-northwest track over the south-central part of the Philippine Sea...about 535 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [8AM MAY 08: 12.0N 130.3E @ 175kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY MORNING: Moving closer to the Bicol Region...approaching the eastern coastal areas of Catanduanes...intensifying further...about 205 km east of Virac, Catanduanes [8AM MAY 09: 13.6N 126.2E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Still gaining strength as it turns northwesterly...just along the coast of Northern Aurora...about 65 km southeast of Casiguran, Aurora [8AM MAY 10: 15.9N 122.6E @ 200kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.
Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Thu May 07, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 11.0º N Lat 133.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 830 km ENE of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 895 km ESE of Borongan City
Distance 3: 1075 km ESE of Sorsogon City
Distance 4: 1105 km ESE of Legazpi City
Distance 5: 1165 km ESE of Metro Naga
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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