for Sunday, 03 May 2015 [8:04 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W UPDATE NUMBER 001
Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Sunday 03 May 2015
Next Update: Monday Morning, 04 May 2015
The strong Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) which was lingering for the past few days over Central Micronesia in the Western Pacific Ocean has developed into Tropical Depression 06W. This cyclone is forecast to move slowly across Yap State in the next few days and could enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday or Thursday (May 6 or 7).
Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia, Palau, Eastern Visayas and Eastern Luzon incl. the Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of 06W.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.
None for the next 3 to 4 days.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 03...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TD 06W (Unnamed)
Location: Over the western part of the Federated States of Micronesia (near 8.7N 141.1E)
About: 340 km east-southeast of Colonia, Yap...or 1,625 km east of Northeastern Mindanao, PH
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 540 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 09 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 11 kph
Towards: Western Micronesia
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TD 06W (Unnamed) will move west to west-northwestward throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, 06W will move across Western Micronesia, passing over or very near Yap State on Monday evening through Tuesday.
06W will start to intensify within the next 24 hours and continue strengthening throughout the forecast period. It is likely to become a Tropical Storm (TS) by Monday morning or afternoon. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 100 kph on Tuesday afternoon, May 5.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a TS as it passes over Western Micronesia...about 110 km east-southeast of Colonia, Yap [2PM MAY 04: 9.3N 139.1E @ 75kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Slows down and intensifies as it moves away from Western Micronesia...about 45 km west of Colonia, Yap [2PM MAY 05: 9.5N 137.7E @ 100kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens into a Typhoon as it approaches the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...about 1,005 km east of Siargao Island [2PM MAY 06: 10.0N 135.3E @ 165kph].
*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: LOW.
Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun May 03, 2015
Location of Center: Near 8.7º N Lat 141.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 670 km E of P.A.R.
Distance 2: 660 km SSW of Hagatna, Guam
Distance 3: 745 km ENE of Koror, Palau
Distance 4: 1720 km ESE of Eastern Visayas, PH
Distance 5: 1915 km SE of Bicol Region, PH
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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