Thursday, May 07, 2015

Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update #008


for Thursday, 07 May 2015 [7:35 AM PhT]


Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Thursday 07 May 2015
Next Update: Thursday Afternoon, 07 May 2015

Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) has turned to the west-northwest and entered the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early this posing a threat to Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region...likely to pass very close to Catanduanes on Saturday afternoon or evening (May 9).

Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas and Eastern Luzon incl. the Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of NOUL (DODONG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

None for the next 24 hours.


As of 5:00 AM PhT today, May 07...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY NOUL (06W)
Location: Over the Eastern Philippine Sea (near 10.4N 134.8E)
About: 995 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar...or 1,195 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center...Gustiness: 175 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 690 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 50 km from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 17 kph
Towards: Philippine Sea


TY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to continue moving west-northwest throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will traverse the eastern part of the Philippine Sea on Friday early morning and shall be approaching the eastern coast of the Bicol Region by early Saturday morning (May 09).

NOUL (DODONG) will continue to intensify throughout the forecast period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 195 kph by early Saturday morning (May 9).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to intensify as it maintains its west-northwest track over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 665 km east-southeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2AM MAY 08: 11.3N 131.5E @ 175kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Moving across the south-central part of the Philippine Sea...approaching the coastal areas of Northern Samar and Eastern Bicol...intensifying further...about 335 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2AM MAY 09: 12.8N 127.3E @ 195kph].
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Still gaining strength as it turns northwesterly...passing close to the northern coast of Camarines Provinces...about 110 km north-northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte [2AM MAY 10: 14.9N 123.5E @ 200kph].

*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu May 07, 2015
Location of Center: Near 10.4º N Lat 134.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 345 km N of Koror, Palau
Distance 2: 955 km ENE of Siargao Island
Distance 3: 1035 km ESE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
Distance 4: 1220 km ESE of Sorsogon City
Distance 5: 1245 km ESE of Legazpi City









>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

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