Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Final Update

 

Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Final Update

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON NOUL (DODONG) UPDATE NUMBER 025 [FINAL]
Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Monday 11 May 2015
Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) accelerating east-northeastward farther away from the Batanes Group of Islands...decaying rapidly as it moves over an area of unfavourable sea and atmospheric conditions. Forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late tonight or early Tuesday.

*This is the final update on Noul (Dodong).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

None.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 11 ...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY NOUL (DODONG)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Bashi Channel (near 22.5N 123.9E)
About: 295 km northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 595 km southwest of Okinawa, Japan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 140 kph near the center...Gustiness: 175 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 50 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 605 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 140 km east from the center and 130 km west from the center
Past Movement: ENE @ 36 kph
Forecast Movement: East-Northeast to Northeast @ 52 kph
Towards: Ryukyus


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to continue to accelerate rapidly east-northeast to northeastward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will be passing over or very near Ryukyu Islands early Tuesday morning.

NOUL (DODONG) will weaken throughout the forecast period as it moves across an area of unfavorable atmospheric conditions and is likely to transform into an Extratropical Cyclone on Tuesday. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to Tropical Storm strength at 85 kph on Tuesday afternoon.

The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens as it accelerates North-Northeast to Northeastward, exiting the PAR...about 280 km southeast of Kagoshima, Japan [2PM MAY 12: 29.4N 131.9E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon May 11, 2015
Location of Center: Near 22.5º N Lat 123.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 225 km S of Ishigaki, Japan
Distance 2: 290 km NNE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 365 km SE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 435 km NNE of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 5: 485 km N of Santa Ana, Cagayan

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 08:25 0 comments

Monday, May 11, 2015

Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 024

 


Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 024

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON NOUL (DODONG) UPDATE NUMBER 024
Issued at: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Monday 11 May 2015
Next Update: Monday Evening, 11 May 2015
Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) is now tracking northward across the Batanes Islands as it prepares to recurve towards the Ryukyu Islands of Southern Japan...continues to lose strength...strong winds and rains are still prevailing over the Batanes Group.

Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon incl. Batanes Islands and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of NOUL (DODONG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Batanes Group of Islands - today.
WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Batanes Group of Islands - today.
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Babuyan Islands - today.

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 2.7-3.9 m (9-12 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Batanes Group of Islands - today. Exensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of the Babuyan Islands. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, May 11 ...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY NOUL (DODONG)
Location: Over the Batanes Group of Islands (near 20.3N 121.8E)
About: 30 km southwest of Basco, Batanes...or 45 km south of Itbayat, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 200 kph near the center...Gustiness: 240 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 420 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 155 km east from the center and 150 km west from the center
Past Movement: North @ 23 kph
Forecast Movement: North-northeast to Northeast @ 38 kph
Towards: Ryukyus


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to continue to move northward briefly and afterwards it will accelerate as it recurves to the north-northeast and northeast for the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will be passing across the Bashi Channel this morning and shall be moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on its way to the Ryukyu Islands late tonight. Noul shall be off the coast of Southern Honshu on Wednesday early morning.

NOUL (DODONG) shall weaken throughout the forecast period as it moves across an area of unfavorable atmospheric conditions. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to Tropical Storm strength at 95 kph on Wednesday early morning.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens as it accelerates North-Northeast to Northeastward, exiting the PAR...about 130 km southwest of Okinawa, Japan [2AM MAY 12: 26.0N 126.6E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Skirting swiftly Southern Japan...weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS)...about 300 km northeast of Tokyo, Japan [2AM MAY 13: 37.6N 142.1E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon May 11, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 20.3º N Lat 121.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 210 km N of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 215 km NNW of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 3: 115 km NNE of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 230 km NNE of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 920 km SW of Okinawa, Japan


__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 12:04 0 comments

Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 023

 



Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 023

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

SUPER TYPHOON NOUL (DODONG) UPDATE NUMBER 023
Issued at: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Monday 11 May 2015
Next Update: Monday Morning, 11 May 2015
Eye of Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) emerging over the Balintang Channel as it continues to lose strength...strong winds and rains will continue to prevail over Northeeastern Luzon.

Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon incl. Batanes Islands and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of NOUL (DODONG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northeastern Cagayan incl. the Babuyan Islands, and Batanes Group of Islands - Tonight through Monday morning (May 11).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Cagayan and Northeastern Isabela - Tonight (May 10).
WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Eastern coasts of Cagayan incl. the eastern islands of the Babuyan Group - late this afternoon (May 10) through early Monday morning (May 11); Batanes Group of Islands - Monday (May 11).
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Rest of Eastern Cagayan, eastern coasts of Isabela and rest of the Babuyan Group - Sunday (May 10).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of the eastern sections of Isabela and rest of Cagayan - Sunday (May 10).
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (Gusts of up to 75 kph): Rest of Isabela and Northern Aurora - Sunday (May 10).

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 4.0-5.5 m (13-18 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Calayan Island - today...and across Batanes Group of Islands - early Monday morning (May 11). Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of the Rest of Northern and Central Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday, May 10 ...1500 GMT.

Classification/Name: STY NOUL (DODONG)
Location: Over the Balintang Channel (near 19.1N 122.1E)
About: 65 km east-southeast of Calayan Island, Cagayan...or 70 km north of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 220 kph near the center...Gustiness: 280 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 405 km (Midget)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 85 km North from the center and 75 km south from the center
Past Movement: North @ 16 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 20 kph
Towards: Batanes Group of Islands


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

STY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to move north to north-northwestward at an average speed for the next 24 hours...accelerating and turning to the northeast on the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will be passing over the Batanes Group of Islands early tomorrow morning. By early Tuesday morning, Noul shall be moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on its way to the Ryukyu Islands...and shall be off the coast of Southern Honshu on Tuesday evening.

NOUL (DODONG) shall weaken throughout the forecast period as it moves across an area of unfavorable atmospheric conditions. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to Tropical Storm strength at 100 kph on Tuesday evening.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY EVENING: Weakens as it accelerates North to North-Northeastward, after traversing the Balintang Channel and the Batanes Group of Islands...about 285 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes [8PM MAY 11: 22.8N 123.2E @ 175kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY EVENING: Passed swiftly across Okinawa and the Ryukyus...already outside of PAR...about 410 km southwest of Tokyo, Japan [8PM MAY 12: 32.8N 137.0E @ 100kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sun May 10, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 19.1º N Lat 122.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 90 km NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 155 km SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 190 km SSE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 4: 150 km ENE of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 1010 km SW of Okinawa, Japan

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 04:22 0 comments

Sunday, May 10, 2015

Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update #022

 

Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 022

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

SUPER TYPHOON NOUL (DODONG) UPDATE NUMBER 022
Issued at: 7:45 PM PhT (11:45 GMT) Sunday 10 May 2015
Next Update: Monday Early Morning, 11 May 2015
Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) has weakened slightly as it skirts along the eastern shores of Cagayan...bringing violent winds over the area.

Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon incl. Batanes Islands and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of NOUL (DODONG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northeastern Cagayan incl. the Babuyan Islands, and Batanes Group of Islands - Tonight through Monday morning (May 11).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Cagayan and Northeastern Isabela - Tonight (May 10).
WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Eastern coasts of Cagayan incl. the eastern islands of the Babuyan Group - late this afternoon (May 10) through early Monday morning (May 11); Batanes Group of Islands - Monday (May 11).
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Rest of Eastern Cagayan, eastern coasts of Isabela and rest of the Babuyan Group - Sunday (May 10).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of the eastern sections of Isabela and rest of Cagayan - Sunday (May 10).
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (Gusts of up to 75 kph): Rest of Isabela and Northern Aurora - Sunday (May 10).

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 4.0-5.5 m (13-18 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Northern Cagayan and Eastern Isabela - today...and across Calayan Island - tonight through early Sunday morning (May 11). Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of the Rest of Northern and Central Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 10...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: STY NOUL (DODONG)
Location: Over the northeastern tip of Cagayan (near 18.3N 122.4E)
About: 145 km north of Palanan, Isabela...or 25 km east-southeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 230 kph near the center...Gustiness: 285 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 350 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 922 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 615 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 155 km North from the center and 140 km south from the center
Past Movement: North-northwest @ 17 kph
Forecast Movement: North @ 20 kph
Towards: Northern Cagayan-Balintang Channel Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

STY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to move northward at an average speed for the next 24 hours...accelerating and turning to the north-northeast and northeast on the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will be traversing Babuyan and Balintang Channels tonight passing over the Batanes Group of Islands early tomorrow morning. By Monday evening, Noul shall be moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on its way to the Ryukyu Islands.

NOUL (DODONG) shall weaken throughout the forecast period as it moves across an area of unfavorable atmospheric conditions. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 120 kph on Tuesday afternoon.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens as it turns north...traverses the Balintang Channel and the Batanes Group of Islands...about 190 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM MAY 11: 22.1N 122.6E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Recurves and accelerates to the north-northeast and northeast across Yaeyama-Ishigaki Islands...weakens further into a minimal typhoon...about 635 km northeast of Okinawa, Japan [2PM MAY 12: 30.7N 132.3E @ 120kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun May 10, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 18.3º N Lat 122.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 170 km NNE of Ilagan, Isabela
Distance 2: 100 km NE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 3: 75 km E of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 235 km NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 5: 240 km SSE of Basco, Batanes

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 22:56 0 comments

Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 020

 

Super Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 020

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

SUPER TYPHOON NOUL (DODONG) UPDATE NUMBER 020
Issued at: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Sunday 10 May 2015
Next Update: Sunday Afternoon, 10 May 2015
NOUL (DODONG) on its course of intensification has reached the strength of a Super Typhoon...seriously threatening Northeastern Luzon particularly Eastern Isabela and Northern Cagayan. The Potential Landfall Area of its eyewall will be somewhere along the eastern tip of Northeastern Cagayan by Sunday evening (May 10)...with a Strike Probability of 80 to 90 percent.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Northern Luzon incl. Batanes Islands and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of NOUL (DODONG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Eastern Cagayan incl. the Babuyan Islands and Northeastern Isabela - Today through Monday morning (May 11).
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Rest of Isabela and Cagayan - Today through Monday morning (May 11); Batanes Group of Islands - Monday (May 11).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Aurora and Quirino - Today (May 10).
WINDS
  • Typhoon Force Winds (Gusts of more than 130 kph): Eastern coasts of Cagayan incl. the eastern islands of the Babuyan Group - late this afternoon (May 10) through early Monday morning (May 11); Batanes Group of Islands - Monday (May 11).
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Rest of Eastern Cagayan, eastern coasts of Isabela and rest of the Babuyan Group - Sunday (May 10).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Rest of the eastern sections of Isabela and rest of Cagayan - Sunday (May 10).
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (Gusts of up to 75 kph): Rest of Isabela and Northern Aurora - Sunday (May 10).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, May 11...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: STY NOUL (DODONG)
Location: Over the West-Central part of the Philippine Sea (near 16.7N 123.6E)
About: 170 km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora...or 130 km east-southeast of Palanan, Isabela
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 220 kph near the center...Gustiness: 280 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 640 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 155 km North from the center and 140 km south from the center
Past Movement: North-northwest @ 19 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest to North-northwest @ 17 kph
Towards: Northeastern Luzon


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

STY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to move northwest to north-northwestward at a normal speed for the next 24 hours...turning sharply to the north and north-northeast on the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will be approaching the eastern shores of Northern Isabela and Cagayan today through this evening (May 10)...its western eyewall shall make landfall over the eastern tip of Northeastern Cagayan early tonight. The typhoon shall then traverse the Babuyan and Balintang Channels tonight through early Monday morning...and could be over Southern Ryukyus by early Tuesday morning.

NOUL (DODONG) will likely gradually weaken throughout the forecast period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds retain at 205 kph tomorrow early morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens as it turns north...traverses the Balintang Channel...about 90 km south-southeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM MAY 11: 19.7N 122.2E @ 205kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Recurves to the north-northeast and northeast across Bashi Channel...weakens further...about 460 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM MAY 12: 23.8N 124.6E @ 160kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Turns to the east-northeast and accelerates, across the Ryukyus...weakens significantly into a strong Tropical Storm (TS)...about 665 km east-northeast of Okinawa, Japan [2AM MAY 13: 28.7N 134.1E @ 100kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun May 10, 2015
Location of Center: Near 16.7º N Lat 123.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 295 km North-northwest of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 240 km NE of Baler, Aurora
Distance 3: 225 km ESE of Tuguegarao, Cagayan
Distance 4: 345 km N of Metro Naga, Camarines Sur
Distance 5: 250 km SE of Santa Ana, Cagayan.

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 11:06 0 comments

Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update #019

 



Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) Update Number 019

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON NOUL (DODONG) UPDATE NUMBER 019
Issued at: 1:30 AM PhT (17:30 GMT) Sunday 10 May 2015
Next Update: Sunday Morning, 10 May 2015
Typhoon NOUL (DODONG) has slowed down as it continues to rapidly intensify with the re-emergence of a clear eye...seriously threatening Northeastern Luzon particularly Eastern Isabela and Northern Cagayan. The Potential Landfall Area will be somewhere along the eastern shores of Isabela or Cagayan by Sunday afternoon or evening (May 10)...with a Strike Probability of 80 to 90 percent.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Northern Luzon incl. Batanes Islands and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of NOUL (DODONG).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Catanduanes - today (May 09) through Sunday morning (May 10); Isabela and Cagayan - beginning Sunday morning (May 10) through Monday afternoon (May 11).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Bicol Region - today (May 09) through Sunday morning (May 10); Northern Quezon including Polillo Islands, Aurora and Quirino - Sunday (May 10) through Monday (May 11).
WINDS
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Eastern coasts of Northern Isabela and Cagayan - Sunday (May 10).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Eastern coasts of Southern Isabela - Sunday (May 10).
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (Gusts of up to 75 kph): Rest of Isabela and Cagayan, and Northern Aurora - Sunday (May 10).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday, May 09...1500 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY NOUL (DODONG)
Location: Over the West-Central part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.8N 124.1E)
About: 220 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora...or 225 km southeast of Palanan, Isabela
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 200 kph near the center...Gustiness: 240 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 470 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 150 km North from the center and 130 km south from the center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 15 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest @ 14 kph
Towards: Northeastern Luzon


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TY NOUL (DODONG) is expected to continue moving northwestward at a normal speed for the next 24 hours...turning sharply north-northwest to north-northeastward on the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, Noul will be approaching the eastern shores of Northern Isabela Sunday morning (May 10) and shall make landfall near or over Isabela-Cagayan areas by late Sunday afternoon or evening. The typhoon shall then traverse Northeastern Cagayan passing over or very close to Santa Ana, Cagayan on or before midnight...and could be over the Bashi Channel on Monday morning through the afternoon.

NOUL (DODONG) will likely strengthen further within the next 24 hours...and afterwards it will start to weaken due to the frictional effect of the mountain ranges of Northeastern Luzon to its circulation upon making landfall. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds retain at 200 kph tomorrow afternoon.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

SUNDAY EVENING: Making landfall over Northeastern Cagayan...about 80 km South of Santa Ana, Cagayan [8PM MAY 10: 17.9N 122.2E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
MONDAY EVENING: Turns to the north while emerging over the Balintang Channel...weakens after traversing Northeastern Luzon...about 230 km northeast of Basco, Batanes [8PM MAY 11: 22.2N 123.3E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
TUESDAY EVENING: Recurves sharply to the northeast and accelerates, across the Batanes Group of Islands...weakens significantly into a strong Tropical Storm (TS)...about 150 km east-northeast of Okinawa, Japan [8PM MAY 12: 27.0N 129.2E @ 110kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sat May 09, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.8º N Lat 124.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 190 km North of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 265 km E of Baler, Aurora
Distance 3: 225 km N of Caramoan, Camarines Sur
Distance 4: 265 km NNE of Metro Naga, Camarines Sur
Distance 5: 230 km NNE of Daet, Camarines Norte.


__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/06W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY NOUL (DODONG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 10:39 0 comments

Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)