Bushman's Typhoon Blog: January 2013

Sunday, January 13, 2013

LPA 94W (BISING) Final StormWatch

for Sunday, 13 January 2013 [7:35 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94W (LPA) [BISING] STORMWATCH NUMBER 009 **FINAL**
Issued: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday 13 Jan 2013

Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] weakening as it moves across the North Philippine Sea, farther away from land. This is the last and final update on this system.

This disturbance will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring 15-35 km/hr winds with "on-and-off" slight to sometimes moderate rains across Luzon including Metro Manila, Mindoro, Marinduque and the Bicol Region today.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 6 AM today, the center of Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] was located over the North Philippine Sea...about 407 km east-northeast of Palanan, Isabela or 477 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan...currently moving northeast with a forward speed of 19 km/hr.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to 30 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Yesterday, a WeatherPhilippines/Meteomedia Automated Weather Station (AWS) situated in Barangay Dapdap in Legazpi City, Albay has registered 148.8 millimeters (mm) of rainfall in a span of 24 hours, which is considered heavy. While, another AWS in Infanta, Quezon registered a 24-hr rain of 152.7 mm. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of 94W (Bising) is estimated to be heavy (200 mm).

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

RAINBANDS - over water (Philippine Sea)...no longer affecting land areas. Tropical Disturbance Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (05-50 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 200 mm (heavy) along areas near the center of 94W (LPA) [Bising].

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Sun January 13, 2013
Class/Name: LPA 94W (Bising)
Location of Center: 17.5º N Lat 126.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 407 km (ENE) away from Palanan, Isabela
Distance 2: 437 km (ESE) away from Sta. Ana, Cagayan
Distance 3: 477 km (E) away from Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 486 km (ESE) away from Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 553 km (SE) away from Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 30 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 50 kph
Present Movement: NNE @ 19 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [200 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 millibars (hPa)
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/94W/imagery/rgb-animated.gif

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/94W/imagery/rb0-lalo.jpg

CURRENT TRACKING CHART:

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/advisorytrax/2013/94W09.gif

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on LPA 94W (BISING)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

__________________________________________________________________________________________

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Saturday, January 12, 2013

LPA 94W (BISING) StormWatch #008

for Saturday, 12 January 2013 [6:50 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94W (LPA) [BISING] STORMWATCH NUMBER 008
Issued: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday 12 Jan 2013
Next Update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Sunday 13 Jan 2013

Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] continues to move faster north-northwestward across the North Philippine Sea. Its rainbands no longer affecting land areas.

This disturbance will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring 15-35 km/hr winds with "on-and-off" slight to moderate rains across Luzon including Metro Manila, Mindoro, Marinduque and the Bicol Region tonight and tomorrow.

Residents and visitors along Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of 94W (LPA) [BISING].

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 6 PM today, the center of Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] was located over the North Philippine Sea...about 287 km north-northeast of Pandan, Catanduanes or 374 km east of Casiguran, Aurora...currently moving north-northwest with an increased forward speed of 24 km/hr.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain at 35 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. A WeatherPhilippines/Meteomedia Automated Weather Station (AWS) situated in Barangay Dapdap in Legazpi City, Albay has registered 148.8 millimeters (mm) of rainfall in a span of 24 hours, which is considered heavy. While, another AWS in Infanta, Quezon registered a 24-hr rain of 152.7 mm. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of 94W (Bising) is estimated to be heavy (250 mm).

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] is expected to continue moving north-northwest with a turn to the north-northeast during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of 94W (LPA) will continue to move across the open waters of the North Philippine Sea through Sunday evening...hundreds of kilometers to the east of Batanes Islands.

94W is forecast to maintain its strength through the next 24 hours...and will begin its transition into a Winter Storm (aka. Frontal System) while moving towards the sea south of Japan.

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

RAINBANDS - over water (Philippine Sea)...no longer affecting land areas. Tropical Disturbance Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (05-50 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 250 mm (heavy) along areas near the center of 94W (LPA) [Bising].

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Sat January 12, 2013
Class/Name: LPA 94W (Bising)
Location of Center: 16.3º N Lat 125.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 287 km (NNE) away from Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 350 km (ESE) from Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 374 km (E) from Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 4: 379 km (NE) away from Daet, CamNorte
Distance 5: 436 km (SE) from Santa Ana, Cagayan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 35 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph
Present Movement: NNW @ 24 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [250 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 millibars (hPa)
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:

CURRENT TRACKING CHART:

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/advisorytrax/2013/94W08.gif

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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LPA 94W (BISING) StormWatch #007

for Saturday, 12 January 2013 [1:19 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 94W (LPA) [BISING] STORMWATCH NUMBER 007
Issued: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Saturday 12 Jan 2013
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday 12 Jan 2013

Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] has maintained its north-northwest track towards the North Philippine Sea. Its rainbands over the Bicol Region now receding...improving weather conditions expected today.

This disturbance will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring 15-35 km/hr winds with "on-and-off" slight to moderate rains across Luzon including Metro Manila today.

Residents and visitors along Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of 94W (LPA) [BISING].

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 12 noon today, the center of Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] was located over the Central Philippine Sea...about 232 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or 302 km northeast of Legazpi City, Albay...currently moving north-northwest with a forward speed of 22 km/hr in the general direction of the North Philippine Sea.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain at 35 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of 94W (Bising) is estimated to be heavy (250 mm).

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) [Bising] is expected to continue moving north-northwest with a turn to the north during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of 94W (LPA) will continue to move across the North Philippine Sea through Sunday...hundreds of kilometers to the east of Northern Cagayan.

94W is forecast to maintain its strength through the next 24 hours. However, it could also become a weak Tropical Depression (TD) if development occurs.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

SUNDAY NOON: Over the North Philippine Sea...passing well to the east of Extremem Northern Luzon...about 328 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan [12PM JAN 13: 18.8N 125.3E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Camarines Norte, Northern Camarines Sur (Partido) and Northern Catanduanes. Tropical Disturbance Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (05-50 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 250 mm (heavy) along areas near the center of 94W (LPA) [Bising].

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Sat January 12, 2013
Class/Name: LPA 94W (Bising)
Location of Center: 15.0º N Lat 125.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km (NE) away from Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 232 km (NE) away from Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 253 km (NE) away from Caramoan, CamSur
Distance 4: 291 km (ENE) away from Siruma, CamSur
Distance 5: 302 km (NE) away from Legazpi City
Distance 6: 320 km (NE) away from Metro Naga
Distance 7: 328 km (ENE) away from Daet, CamNorte
Distance 8: 418 km (ESE) from Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 9: 441 km (ENE) away from Infanta, Quezon
Distance 10: 507 km (ENE) away from Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 35 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph
Present Movement: NNW @ 22 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [250 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 millibars (hPa)
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)