for Thursday, 22 July 2010 [12:15 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu July 22 2010):
CHANTHU TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER WUCHUAN CITY, ANY MOMENT FROM NOW...(click here to view live observations from Wuchuan AWS). Meanwhile, the city of Dianbai is expected to feel the Eastern Eyewall, (click here to view live observations). Thanks to James Reynolds of www.typhoonfury.
CHANTHU (CALOY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 125 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 125 kph
TYPHOON CHANTHU [CALOY/04W/1003]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Thu 22 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #016
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Western Guangdong particulary Zhanjiang District should closely monitor the progress of CHANTHU.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information + Forecast Outlook: CHANTHU is expected make landfall just east of the City of Zhanjiang - or over Wuchuan City any moment from now, and will move inland across Western Guangdong this afternoon through the evening [8PM JUL 22: 21.9N 110.2E @ 95kph]. The 36-hour Short-Range Forecast shows CHANTHU dissipating over mainland China beginning tomorrow [8AM JUL 23: 22.7N 109.0E @ 55kph...8PM JUL 23: 23.3N 108.0E @ 35kph]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Thu Jul 22 2010
Location of Eye: 21.2º N Lat 111.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 55 km (30 nm) East of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 2: 140 km (75 nm) NNE of Haikou, Hainan
Distance 3: 290 km (155 nm) WSW of Macau
Distance 4: 350 km (190 nm) WSW of Hong Kong
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 130 kph (70 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 160 kph (85 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 230 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Present Movement: NNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Zhanjiang City Area
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Latest WunderTrack (for Public): 8 AM PhT Thu Jul 22
+ Forecast Outlook: CHANTHU is expected make landfall just east of the City of Zhanjiang - or over Wuchuan City any moment from now, and will move inland across Western Guangdong this afternoon through the evening [8PM JUL 22: 21.9N 110.2E @ 95kph]. The 36-hour Short-Range Forecast shows CHANTHU dissipating over mainland China beginning tomorrow [8AM JUL 23: 22.7N 109.0E @ 55kph...8PM JUL 23: 23.3N 108.0E @ 35kph]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: CHANTHU's core (eye + eyewall) expected to pass over the city of Wuchuan in awhile. Western Eyewall now buffeting Dianbai, parts of Zhanjiang, and coastal areas of Western Guangdong. Typhoon conditions (>120 kph) with heavy rains expected for the next couple of hours. Its inner (rain) bands affecting the Northern part of Hainan Island and the coastal areas of Guangdong - where moderate to strong winds (55-95 kph) w/ light to moderate rains can be expected. The outer (feeder) bands of this system continues to spread across the whole of Hainan and other portions of Guangdong Province - light to moderate winds (25-40 kph) w/ passing light occasional rains can be expected. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...
+ Current ITCZ Intensity: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with scattered to widespread rains w/ strong thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: REST OF THE PHILIPPINES. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TY CHANTHU (CALOY)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0410.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHANTHU), INTENSIFIED FROM A TROPICAL STORM
AND DEVELOPED AN EYE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDS WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SAME ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS THE SYSTEM
GETTING FRAYED ON THE NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST QUADRANTS AS IT BEGINS
TO INTERACT WITH THE TOPOGRAPHY OF CHINA. THE CURRENT POSITION IS
BASED ON MULTIPLE MICROWAVE IMAGES, INCLUDING A 212310Z AMSU-B PASS,
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T4.5 TO T5.0 FROM KNEW, PGTW, AND RJTD. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
EXTENSION OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC IN AN AREA OF WEAKENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AS
SUPPORTED BY UPPER-AIR DATA FROM NANNING AND HAIKOU...(more)
>> CHANTHU, meaning: A kind of flower. Name contributed by: Cambodia.
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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