for Saturday, 17 July 2010 [5:32 PM HKT]
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat July 17 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly updates web advisiories (except 12 AM HKT) on TS CONSON (BASYANG).
CONSON (BASYANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 105 kph
TROPICAL STORM CONSON [BASYANG/03W/
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 019
6:00 PM HKT (10:00 GMT) Sat 17 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #024
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Gulf of Tonkin & Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of CONSON (BASYANG).
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information + Forecast Outlook: CONSON (BASYANG) is expected to make landfall along the coast of Northern Vietnam, just SE of Hanoi around 7-8PM tonight and will then pass about 65 km. NE of Hanoi just after midnight [2AM JUL 18: 21.5N 106.3E @ 65kph]. This system will eventually dissipate tomorrow afternoon [2PM JUL 18: 22.3N 105.3E @ 35kph].
Time/Date: 5:00 PM HKT Sat Jul 17 2010
Location of Center: 20.4º N Lat 107.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 50 km (48 nm) SE of N. Vietnam's Coast
Distance 2: 150 km (80 nm) ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 3: 220 km (120 nm) NW of Dongfang, Hainan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (65 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 220 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Present Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Northern Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Avg/Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 19 ft (5.7 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-4 feet [0-1.2 m]
Latest WunderTrack (for Public): 2 PM HKT Sat Jul 17
+ Forecast Outlook: CONSON (BASYANG) is expected to make landfall along the coast of Northern Vietnam, just SE of Hanoi around 7-8PM tonight and will then pass about 65 km. NE of Hanoi just after midnight [2AM JUL 18: 21.5N 106.3E @ 65kph]. This system will eventually dissipate tomorrow afternoon [2PM JUL 18: 22.3N 105.3E @ 35kph].
+ Effects & Hazards: CONSON's (BASYANG) circulation continues to affect Hainan and Vietnam including the Gulf Of Tonkin, with its center approaching the coast of Northern Vietnam. Its inner (rain) bands is now spreading across Northern Vietnam...while its outer (feeder) bands remains over Western Hainan Island, Eastern & Northern Vietnam and parts of Western Guangdong (China). Strong winds (60-80 kph) w/ moderate to heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands...while moderate to strong winds (30-50 kph) w/ occasional rains is likely along the outer bands. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light, moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TY CONSON (BASYANG)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0310.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Sat Jul 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*TROPICAL STORM 03W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED 20 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS
IMAGERY, THE 17/00Z POSITION WAS RELOCATED 28 NM NORTHEAST OF THE
17/00Z WARNING POSITION. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN BOTH THE
CURRENT POSITION AND THE 6-HOUR MOTION. RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES
THE SYSTEM HAS RETURNED TO A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 45 TO 55 KNOTS
AS WELL AS A 170209Z ASCAT IMAGE, WHICH SHOWED 45 KNOT UNFLAGGED
WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. TS 03W IS FORECAST TO TRACK
NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL NEAR 17/12Z. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER LAND AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 24. THERE
ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TRACK PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS WARNING. BASED ON THE MINOR RELOCATION, THE TRACK WAS
SHIFTED NORTHWARD BUT IS PARALLEL TO THE 17/00Z FORECAST
>> CONSON, meaning: A historical place. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
Copyright © 2010 Typhoon2000.