for Saturday, 17 July 2010 [6:32 AM HKT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri July 16 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly updates web advisiories (except 12 AM HKT) on TS CONSON (BASYANG).
CONSON (BASYANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 105 kph
TROPICAL STORM CONSON [BASYANG/03W/
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 017
6:00 AM HKT (22:00 GMT) Sat 17 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #022
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Hainan Island, Gulf of Tonkin, Northern Vietnam & Southern China should closely monitor the progress of CONSON (BASYANG).
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information + Forecast Outlook: CONSON (BASYANG) is expected to move across the Gulf of Tonkin today [2PM JUL 17: 19.7N 107.1E-100kph] and will make landfall along the coast of Northern Vietnam, just SE of Hanoi around 8PM tonight. It will then pass near the City of Hanoi just after midnight [2AM JUL 18: 20.7N 105.8E-75kph]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM HKT Sat Jul 17 2010
Location of Center: 18.7º N Lat 108.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 85 km (45 nm) WSW of Dongfang, Hainan
Distance 2: 160 km (85 nm) WNW of Sanya, Hainan
Distance 3: 190 km (103 nm) WSW of Danzhou, Hainan
Distance 4: 250 km (135 nm) NNE of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 5: 345 km (187 nm) SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 110 kph (60 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 140 kph (75 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Present Movement: WNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Towards: Northern Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (400 nm) / Avg/Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 19 ft (5.7 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-4 feet [0-1.2 m]
Latest WunderTrack (for Public): 2 AM HKT Sat Jul 17
+ Forecast Outlook: CONSON (BASYANG) is expected to move across the Gulf of Tonkin today [2PM JUL 17: 19.7N 107.1E-100kph] and will make landfall along the coast of Northern Vietnam, just SE of Hanoi around 8PM tonight. It will then pass near the City of Hanoi just after midnight [2AM JUL 18: 20.7N 105.8E-75kph]
+ Effects & Hazards: CONSON's (BASYANG) circulation continues to affect Hainan and Vietnam including the Gulf Of Tonkin, with its center now over the Gulf of Tonkin, near the west coast of Hainan Island. Its inner (rain) bands continues to affect Western Hainan...while its outer (feeder) bands spreading across the rest of Hainan Island and Eastern Vietnam. Strong winds (60-90 kph) w/ moderate to heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands...while moderate to strong winds (30-50 kph) w/ occasional rains is likely along the outer bands. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light, moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...
+ Current ITCZ Intensity: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with scattered to widespread rains w/ thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, CENTRAL LUZON, BICOL, QUEZON, AND MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch: [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
A new and developing small Tropical Disturbance 98W (LPA) was spotted off the Philippine Sea, east of Aurora...currently located near lat 16.0N lon 123.6E...or about 160 km East of Casiguran...
External Links for TY CONSON (BASYANG)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0310.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 PM Fri Jul 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
*TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HANOI VIETNAM, HAS WEAKENED FROM A TYPHOON AND TRACKED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION AMASSED MOSTLY ON THE SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT OF THE STORM. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES INCREASING
NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). THIS IS SUPPORTED BY UPPER
AIR DATA FROM HANOI SHOWING WINDS AT AND ABOVE 500 MB TO BE WELL IN
EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN THOSE OVER HAINAN.
THE CURRENT POSITION IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 161519Z TRMM MICROWAVE
IMAGE DEPICTING A PARTIAL EYE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS
BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD RANGING FROM 55
TO 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND MAKE LANDFALL
SOUTHEAST OF HANOI BETWEEN TAU 12 AND 24. THE AVAILABLE NUMERIC
GUIDANCE IS IN OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK FORECAST..(more)
>> CONSON, meaning: A historical place. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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