for Thursday, 15 July 2010 [11:55 PM PhT]
Get the latest 6-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on BASYANG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu July 15 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly updates web advisiories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS CONSON (BASYANG), but ending the 6-hrly SMS updates (available only for the Philippines)
CONSON (BASYANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 100 kph
TROPICAL STORM CONSON [BASYANG/03W/
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 012
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Thu 15 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #015
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Hainan Island, Gulf of Tonkin, Northern Vietnam & Southern China should closely monitor the progress of CONSON (BASYANG).
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Thu Jul 15 2010
Location of Center: 16.4º N Lat 114.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 500 km (270 nm) SE of Qionghai, Hainan
Distance 2: 540 km (290 nm) ESE of Sanya, Hainan
Distance 3: 645 km (348 nm) South of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 650 km (350 nm) South of Macau
Distance 5: 655 km (353 nm) WNW of Dagupan City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (85 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: West @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: Hainan-Gulf Of Tonkin Area
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (4.5 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-4 feet [0-1.2 m]
Latest WunderTrack (for Public): 8 AM HKT Thu Jul 15
+ Forecast Outlook: CONSON (BASYANG) is expected to resume tracking WNW to NW-ward across the South China Sea and into the Gulf of Tonkin for the next 3 days...will now make landfall over Hainan Island (China) tomorrow noontime between 11AM-12PM [8AM JUL 16: 18.2N 110.9E - 95kph]. The 2 to 3-Day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system entering the Gulf of Tonkin late tomorrow night after crossing Hainan [8PM JUL 16: 19.4N 109.3E - 75kph] -- and will make it final landfall along the coast of Northern Vietnam before noon on Saturday [8AM JUL 17: 20.7N 107.9E - 75kph]. It shall dissipate rapidly overland (Northern Vietnam) on Sunday [8AM JUL 18: 22.7N 106.0E - 35kph]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: CONSON's (BASYANG) rain bands remains over the South China Sea, not yet affecting any land areas. However, its outer rain bands is expected to reach Eastern Vietnam later today, and over Hainan tonight. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light, moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TY CONSON (BASYANG)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0310.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Thu Jul 15
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*DESPITE HIGH (>30 KNOTS) NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS), TS 03W HAS MAINTAINED AN INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
PARTIAL 142210Z 85 GHZ SSMI MICROWAVE PASS CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK
BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, WITH MOST OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO
STRONG NORTHEASTERLY VWS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED
OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CHINA. THERE IS DECREASED CONFIDENCE IN THE
POSITION BASED ON THE POORER RESOLUTION AMSU IMAGE. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 50 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING
FROM 45 TO 55 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD...(more)
>> CONSON, meaning: A historical place. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
Copyright © 2010 Typhoon2000.