for Wednesday, 14 July 2010 [5:45 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed July 14 2010):
BASYANG now over Manila Bay...Still continuing its 3-hrly advisories. on TY CONSON (BASYANG).
CONSON (BASYANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 110 kph
TROPICAL STORM CONSON [BASYANG/03W/
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 008
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wed 14 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #010
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Metro Manila, Central & Southern Luzon should closely monitor the progress of CONSON (BASYANG).
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed Jul 13 2010
Location of Center: 14.4º N Lat 120.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 85 km (45 nm) West of Metro Manila
Distance 2: 45 km (25 nm) South of Subic Bay
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (85 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Very Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: West @ 17 kph (09 kts)
Towards: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 20 ft (6.0 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-4 feet [0-1.2 m]
T2K TrackMap #010 (for Public): 6 AM PhT Wed Jul 14
+ Forecast Outlook: CONSON (BASYANG) is expected to be over the South China Sea this morning. The 3 to 5-Day Long-Range Forecast shows the system making its final landfall on Saturday morning along Southern China or just west of Macau. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: CONSON's (BASYANG) rainbands will still continue to affect Metro Manila and nearby provinces. Strong winds w/ moderate to heavy rainfall to prevail this morning. Meanwhile, its inner and outer bands will continue to spread across Southern Tagalog Provinces and portions of Central Luzon. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light, moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...
PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warnings Signals
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: NO DATA (PAGASA WEBSITE OFFLINE).
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: NO DATA (PAGASA WEBSITE OFFLINE).
External Links for TY CONSON (BASYANG)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0310.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Tue Jul 13
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SLIGHT
WEAKENING DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). HOWEVER, A 130455Z AMSR-E 36 GHZ IMAGE
SHOWS A SMALL SYSTEM WITH TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING WITH A SMALL
MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THIS SIGNATURE ALONG WITH DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM 45 TO 77 KNOTS SUPPORT THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 65
KNOTS. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION
BASED ON THE AMSR-E IMAGE. TY 03W CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD TOWARD
MANILA UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A STRONG MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER AIR
DATA FROM LAOAG (98223) AND XISHA DAO (59981) INDICATE STRONG UPPER-
LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW AT 45-70 KNOTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN SOUTH CHINA
SEA. THEREFORE, TY 03W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHERN LUZON BUT SHOULD TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
STR. THE MAJORITY OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS TRACK WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE GFS, WHICH DEPICTS AN ERRONEOUS NORTHWARD TRACK
TOWARD TAIWAN. TY 03W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD (BUT SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH OVER THE WARM WATER) DUE TO THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG NORTHERLY VWS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STR
ENTRENCHED OVER SOUTHERN CHINA. TY 03W WILL MAKE LANDFALL SOUTHWEST
OF HONG KONG NEAR TAU 72 AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER LAND AFTER TAU 96....(more)
>> CONSON, meaning: A historical place. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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