for Tuesday, 20 July 2010 [2:30 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue July 20 2010):
Currently issuing the 6-hrly updates web advisiories (except 12 AM HKT) on Tropical Storm CHANTHU (CALOY).
CHANTHU (CALOY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 kph
TROPICAL STORM CHANTHU [CALOY/04W/1003]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 008
2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Tue 20 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Sat Fix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Guangdong including Hong Kong and Macau should closely monitor the progress of CHANTHU.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information + Forecast Outlook: CHANTHU is expected to continue tracking NNW and will intensify further while over the South China Sea [8AM JUL 21: 19.5N 114.5E @ 85kph]. It will be approaching Guangdong, China with forecast 1-min sustained winds of 100 kph by Thursday [8AM JUL 22: 21.7N 113.2E @ 100kph]. The 3 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows CHANTHU making landfall west of Macau by Thursday noon, and will move overland, across Guangdong Province (China) [8AM JUL 23: 23.8N 111.9E @ 65kph]. This system will eventually dissipate as it moves across the mountainous terrain of China on Friday morning [8AM JUL 24: 25.1N 110.6E @ 35kph].
Time/Date: 2:00 PM PhT Tue Jul 20 2010
Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 115.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 560 km (302 nm) West of Vigan City
Distance 2: 585 km (315 nm) WSW of Laoag City
Distance 3: 520 km (280 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 535 km (290 nm) SSE of Macau
Distance 5: 720 km (390 nm) NW of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 85 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 997 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Present Movement: NNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Latest WunderTrack (for Public): 2 PM PhT Tue Jul 20
+ Forecast Outlook: CHANTHU is expected to continue tracking NNW and will intensify further while over the South China Sea [8AM JUL 21: 19.5N 114.5E @ 85kph]. It will be approaching Guangdong, China with forecast 1-min sustained winds of 100 kph by Thursday [8AM JUL 22: 21.7N 113.2E @ 100kph]. The 3 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows CHANTHU making landfall west of Macau by Thursday noon, and will move overland, across Guangdong Province (China) [8AM JUL 23: 23.8N 111.9E @ 65kph]. This system will eventually dissipate as it moves across the mountainous terrain of China on Friday morning [8AM JUL 24: 25.1N 110.6E @ 35kph].
+ Effects & Hazards: CHANTHU's circulation remains over the South China Sea and is not affecting any land mass at this time. Its rain content has weakened somewhat. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 45 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...
+ Current ITCZ Intensity: MODERATE >> Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with scattered to widespread afternoon or evening rains w/ strong thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: REST OF THE PHILIPPINES. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS CHANTHU (CALOY)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0410.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED CENTRAL CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE
BANDING TIGHTLY WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
A 192203Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS THE DEEPEST CONVECTION
WRAPPING AROUND FROM THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERY. INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON THE SSMIS IMAGE AND INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED
ON PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD DVORAK ESTIMATES INDICATING 35 KNOTS.
ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT...(more)
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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