Tuesday, July 20, 2010

TS CHANTHU (CALOY) - Update #08

 


for Tuesday, 20 July 2010 [2:30 PM PhT]


click to get RSS data


<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on CALOY!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.

powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue July 20 2010):

Currently issuing the 6-hrly updates web advisiories (except 12 AM HKT) on Tropical Storm CHANTHU (CALOY).


CHANTHU (CALOY) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 kph

TROPICAL STORM CHANTHU [CALOY/04W/1003]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 008

2:00 PM PhT (06:00 GMT) Tue 20 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Sat Fix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
  • Tropical Storm CHANTHU (CALOY)has left the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it moves closer to Hong Kong-Macau Area.

    *Residents and visitors along Guangdong including Hong Kong and Macau should closely monitor the progress of CHANTHU.

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 2:00 PM PhT Tue Jul 20 2010
    Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 115.1º E Lon
    Distance 1: 560 km (302 nm) West of Vigan City
    Distance 2: 585 km (315 nm) WSW of Laoag City
    Distance 3: 520 km (280 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
    Distance 4: 535 km (290 nm) SSE of Macau
    Distance 5: 720 km (390 nm) NW of Metro Manila
    MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 85 mm [Moderate]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 997 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
    Present Movement: NNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
    Towards: Southern China
    Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Latest WunderTrack (for Public): 2 PM PhT Tue Jul 20

    + Forecast Outlook: CHANTHU is expected to continue tracking NNW and will intensify further while over the South China Sea [8AM JUL 21: 19.5N 114.5E @ 85kph]. It will be approaching Guangdong, China with forecast 1-min sustained winds of 100 kph by Thursday [8AM JUL 22: 21.7N 113.2E @ 100kph]. The 3 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows CHANTHU making landfall west of Macau by Thursday noon, and will move overland, across Guangdong Province (China) [8AM JUL 23: 23.8N 111.9E @ 65kph]. This system will eventually dissipate as it moves across the mountainous terrain of China on Friday morning [8AM JUL 24: 25.1N 110.6E @ 35kph].

    + Effects & Hazards: CHANTHU's circulation remains over the South China Sea and is not affecting any land mass at this time. Its rain content has weakened somewhat. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 45 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 100 mm (moderate) situated along the south & southwestern periphery of CHANTHU's center. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount

    + Current ITCZ Intensity: MODERATE >> Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with scattered to widespread afternoon or evening rains w/ strong thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: REST OF THE PHILIPPINES. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]


    External Links for TS CHANTHU (CALOY)

    View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

    JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0410.gif
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs Ahead
    NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
    EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


  • JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

  • REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8AM (00 GMT) TUE 20 JULY POSITION: 17.3N 116.0E.
    *ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
    SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED CENTRAL CONVECTION AND CONVECTIVE
    BANDING TIGHTLY WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
    A 192203Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS THE DEEPEST CONVECTION
    WRAPPING AROUND FROM THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERY. INITIAL
    POSITION IS BASED ON THE SSMIS IMAGE AND INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED
    ON PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD DVORAK ESTIMATES INDICATING 35 KNOTS.
    ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO
    THE NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT...
    (
    more)
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :

    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
     
    RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART: NEW!


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    NOTE:
     
      * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS CHANTHU (CALOY)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2010 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

    __._,_.___
    Recent Activity:
    .

    __,_._,___

    No comments: