Sunday, July 18, 2010

LPA 98W - Update #02


for Sunday, 18 July 2010 [7:09 AM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun July 18 2010):

Currently issuing the 6-hrly updates web advisiories (except 12 AM HKT) on Tropical Disturbance 98W (LPA) developing near the coast of Northern Quezon.


+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 25 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr


6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Sun 18 July 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
  • Tropical Disturbance 98W (LPA) still trying to consolidate near the coast of Northern Quezon...barely moving. This system has a 75% chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours.

    *Residents and visitors along Central & Northern Luzon particularly Aurora & Northern Quezon should closely monitor the progress of 98W (LPA).

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Sun Jul 18 2010
    Location of Center: 15.1º N Lat 122.2º E Lon
    Distance 1: 65 km (35 nm) NE of Infanta, Quezon
    Distance 2: 100 km (55 nm) SE of Baler, Aurora
    Distance 3: 125 km (67 nm) South of Casiguran, Aurora
    Distance 4: 225 km (122 nm) SE of Baguio City
    Distance 5: 225 km (122 nm) SE of Dagupan City
    Distance 6: 135 km (72 nm) ESE of Cabanatuan City
    Distance 7: 140 km (75 nm) NE of Metro Manila
    Distance 8: 200 km (107 nm) NW of Metro Naga/CWC
    MaxWinds (1-min avg): 35 kph (20 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph (35 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): N/A
    Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Disturbance
    Present Movement: SW @ 02 kph (01 kt)
    Towards: Northern Quezon-Aurora Area
    Size (in Diameter): 300 km (160 nm) / Small
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 7 ft (2.1 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    T2K Initial TrackMap #002 (for Public): 8 AM PhT Sun Jul 18

    + Forecast Outlook: This section will commence once this disturbance (LPA) has been upgraded into a Tropical Depression.

    + Effects & Hazards: 98W's (LPA) loose and scattered circulation will continue to spread across much of Bicol Region and Luzon particularly the Northern and Central Luzon including Metro Manila. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

    External Links for 98W (LPA)

    View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis


  • REMARKS (for Meteorologists)N/A..(more)




    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 

      * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:


    For the complete details on LPA 98W...go visit our website @:


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