for Wednesday, 07 October 2009 [12:33 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue October 06 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly SMS updates and 6-hrly web/e-mail advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS PARMA (PEPENG).
PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 kph
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM PARMA [PEPENG/19W/0917]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 028
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 07 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #038
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
PARMA (PEPENG) barely a Tropical Storm as it tracks ESE across Cagayan-Isabela...now off the coast of Eastern Cagayan.
*Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to return to its former track and cross Northern Luzon again, but it may be just a weak TD or its remnants if its circulation continues to diminish. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows this system regaining TS strength and accelerating Westward to WNW in the South China Sea this weekend.
+ Effects: PARMA's main circulation has lost much of its organization while over land...will continue to dump excessive amounts of rainfall across most of Northern Luzon, where widespread flooding is common. If it stays more overland, PARMA shall lose its storm status and be downgraded into a TD or worse even dissipates over the mountains of Northern Luzon. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of PARMA or along mountains slopes. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Typhoon MELOR (QUEDAN) shall start to accelerate NE-ward towards Southern Japan today. Click here to view latest T2K advisory.
Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed October 07 2009
Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 122.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 65 km (35 nm) East of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 70 km (38 nm) NE of Ilagan, Isabela
Distance 3: 110 km (60 nm) SE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 155 km (83 nm) NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the eye
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: ESE @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 610 km (330 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft (-.- m)
T2K TrackMap #015 (for Public): 12 PM PST Wed Oct 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Wed Oct 7
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Wed Oct 7
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Viewer: Real-Time Rainrate Image
NASA-JAXA TMI Viewer: Latest Rainrate Image
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: BATANES-BABUYAN-CALAYAN ISLAND GROUP, CAGAYAN, ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, ABRA, KALINGA, ILOCOS SUR, MOUNTAIN PROVINCE, ISABELA AND IFUGAO.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC (US NAVY/AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
8 PM (12 GMT) 07 OCTOBER: 17.6N 121.2E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / SW @ 02 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on PEPENG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue October 06 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly SMS updates and 6-hrly web/e-mail advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS PARMA (PEPENG).
PARMA (PEPENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 kph
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM PARMA [PEPENG/19W/
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 028
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 07 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #038
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to return to its former track and cross Northern Luzon again, but it may be just a weak TD or its remnants if its circulation continues to diminish. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows this system regaining TS strength and accelerating Westward to WNW in the South China Sea this weekend.
+ Effects: PARMA's main circulation has lost much of its organization while over land...will continue to dump excessive amounts of rainfall across most of Northern Luzon, where widespread flooding is common. If it stays more overland, PARMA shall lose its storm status and be downgraded into a TD or worse even dissipates over the mountains of Northern Luzon. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...
(1) Typhoon MELOR (QUEDAN) shall start to accelerate NE-ward towards Southern Japan today. Click here to view latest T2K advisory.
Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed October 07 2009
Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 122.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 65 km (35 nm) East of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 70 km (38 nm) NE of Ilagan, Isabela
Distance 3: 110 km (60 nm) SE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 155 km (83 nm) NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the eye
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: ESE @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 610 km (330 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft (-.- m)
T2K TrackMap #015 (for Public): 12 PM PST Wed Oct 07
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 8 AM Wed Oct 7
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Wed Oct 7
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
EORC-JAXA TRMM Viewer: Real-Time Rainrate Image
NASA-JAXA TMI Viewer: Latest Rainrate Image
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: BATANES-BABUYAN-
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
8 PM (12 GMT) 07 OCTOBER: 17.6N 121.2E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / SW @ 02 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 17.5N 121.0E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / W @ 04 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 17.7N 119.9E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / W @ 07 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 10 OCTOBER: 17.9N 118.3E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 09 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 17.7N 119.9E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / W @ 07 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 10 OCTOBER: 17.9N 118.3E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 09 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 07 OCTOBER POSITION: 17.9N 121.1E.
*TROPICAL STORM (TS) PARMA HAS MADE LANDFALL AND IS DRAGGING
ALONG THE RUGGED WESTERN MOUNTAIN RANGE OF LUZON. ANIMATED WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TS 19W HAS LOST A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DEEP
CONVECTION DUE TO THE LAND INTERACTION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM LAOAG, ON
THE NORTHWEST TIP OF LUZON AND FROM A 062107Z QUIKSCAT SCATTEROMETRY
PASS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
WITH POOR CONFIDENCE. THE SYSTEM IS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT,
IN A COL REGION BETWEEN TWO RIDGES - ONE TO THE WEST AND ONE TO THE
NORTHEAST...(more)
>> PARMA, meaning: Macanese food (ham with chicken livers and mushrooms). Name contributed by: Macau, China.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 07 OCTOBER: 17.3N 121.9E / NE Slowly / 55 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS PARMA (PEPENG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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