for Wednesday, 14 October 2009 [6:25 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue October 13 2009):
Now issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD 22W (UNNAMED)
22W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 14 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #002
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 22W (UNNAMED) continues to consolidate as it moves quickly towards the Southern Marianas.
*Residents and visitors along the Mariana Island Chain should closely monitor the progress of 22W.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 22W is expected to turn quickly WNW-ward, within the easterly flow of the strong high pressure north of it. It shall become a Tropical Storm tomorrow morning before passing to the south of Guam tomorrow afternoon. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 22W heading steadily WNW towards the Philippine Sea...becoming a Category 1 Typhoon as it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday Oct 19. *ECMWF 10-Day Extended Long-Range Forecast: 22W is expected to slow down as it approaches the Island of Luzon on Tuesday Oct 20, intensifying into a Category 3 or 4 Typhoon...It shall make landfall over Northern Luzon or over Isabela Wednesday evening, Oct 21 and exit thru Benguet and La Union early Thursday morning, Oct 22. Please be reminded that the ECMWF model run changes every 12 hours, so a shift to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered.
+ Effects: 22W's broad circulation continues to consolidate while moving Westward. Its outer bands is expected to move into Southern Marianas beginning tonight - bringing scattered rains w/ squalls and thunderstorms. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 100 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of 22W particularly along its projected path. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA) now moving across Jintotolo Channel, just north of Panay Island...its rainbands ahead of its center, continues to spread across the whole of the Visayas, Bicol Region, Southern & Central Luzon including Metro Manila...currently located near lat 11.8N lon 123.0E...or about 30 km NE of Roxas City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center...moving WNW @ 28 kph towards Romblon & Mindoro area. This system may likely become a Tropical Cyclone once it reaches the South China Sea tomorrow.
Kindly click the T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed October 14 2009
Location of Center: 10.3º N Lat 150.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 680 km (367 nm) SE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,330 km (718 nm) ENE of Yap, FSM
Distance 3: 1,665 km (900 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 2,690 km (1,452 nm) East of Visayas, PH
Distance 5: 2,960 km (1,598 nm) ESE of Naga City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Wed Oct 14
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Wed Oct 14
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY/AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 OCTOBER: 10.5N 147.9E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 26 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue October 13 2009):
Now issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the newly-formed TD 22W (UNNAMED)
22W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 14 October 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #002
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Mariana Island Chain should closely monitor the progress of 22W.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 22W is expected to turn quickly WNW-ward, within the easterly flow of the strong high pressure north of it. It shall become a Tropical Storm tomorrow morning before passing to the south of Guam tomorrow afternoon. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 22W heading steadily WNW towards the Philippine Sea...becoming a Category 1 Typhoon as it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday Oct 19. *ECMWF 10-Day Extended Long-Range Forecast: 22W is expected to slow down as it approaches the Island of Luzon on Tuesday Oct 20, intensifying into a Category 3 or 4 Typhoon...It shall make landfall over Northern Luzon or over Isabela Wednesday evening, Oct 21 and exit thru Benguet and La Union early Thursday morning, Oct 22. Please be reminded that the ECMWF model run changes every 12 hours, so a shift to the left or right of its future track and other conditions must be considered.
+ Effects: 22W's broad circulation continues to consolidate while moving Westward. Its outer bands is expected to move into Southern Marianas beginning tonight - bringing scattered rains w/ squalls and thunderstorms. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 100 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 93W (LPA) now moving across Jintotolo Channel, just north of Panay Island...its rainbands ahead of its center, continues to spread across the whole of the Visayas, Bicol Region, Southern & Central Luzon including Metro Manila...currently located near lat 11.8N lon 123.0E...or about 30 km NE of Roxas City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center...moving WNW @ 28 kph towards Romblon & Mindoro area. This system may likely become a Tropical Cyclone once it reaches the South China Sea tomorrow.
Kindly click the T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued every afternoon, and shows various tropical systems roaming across the South China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed October 14 2009
Location of Center: 10.3º N Lat 150.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 680 km (367 nm) SE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,330 km (718 nm) ENE of Yap, FSM
Distance 3: 1,665 km (900 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 2,690 km (1,452 nm) East of Visayas, PH
Distance 5: 2,960 km (1,598 nm) ESE of Naga City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Wed Oct 14
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Wed Oct 14
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 OCTOBER: 10.5N 147.9E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 26 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 15 OCTOBER: 11.3N 145.2E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 OCTOBER: 13.0N 141.0E / 110-140 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 17 OCTOBER: 13.9N 138.6E / 130-160 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 OCTOBER: 13.0N 141.0E / 110-140 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 17 OCTOBER: 13.9N 138.6E / 130-160 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / WNW @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 OCTOBER POSITION: 9.8N 150.6E.
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE
WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS, TD 22W HAS ACCELERATED SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
A 140316Z AMSRE 37H PASS SHOWS SEVERAL DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING
INTO THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR OUTFLOW WITH TD 22W LOCATED IN A REGION OF UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION REMAINS LOCATED ON THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM, AND IS STARTING TO BUILD FROM THE SOUTH
AROUND TO THE EASTERN HALF...(more)
____________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 22W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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