Saturday, July 09, 2016

Tropical Storm NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) Update Number 008


Tropical Storm NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) Update Number 008


Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday 09 July 2016
Next Update: Saturday Evening, 09 July 2016


Current Status

NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) downgraded to a Tropical Storm (TS) as it drifts slowly across Taiwan Strait towards the coast of Fujian Province, China. Forecast to make landfall over Eastern Fujian, in between the cities of Xiamen and Fuzhou this afternoon.

This typhoon will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring "on-and-off" rains with thunderstorms and gusty winds across the western sections of Luzon and Visayas including Metro Manila today.


Where is Nepartak  (Butchoy)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 09...2100 GMT.  The center was located outside of the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), or over the central part of Taiwan Strait (near 24.0N 119.3E), about 177 km north-northwest of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan or 478 km. northwest of Basco, Batanes


How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 100 kph near the center...Gustiness: 130 kph


Where is it heading?

North-Northwest @ 11 kph, towards Fujian Province, China.

What areas will be most affected?

Western Taiwan & Eastern Fujian – Today (Jul 09). Rest of Fujian – Tonight and Tomorrow (Sunday, Jul 10).


Storm Surge Info


2-Day Forecast Outlook

TS NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) is expected to move slowly in a generally north-northwest direction during the next 24 hours, and shall turn north during the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) shall be over the northern part of Fujian Province by early Sunday morning (Jul 10), and over the Fujian-Jiangxi-Zhejiang Border by early Monday morning (Jul 11).

TS NEPARTAK (BUTCHOY) is expected to continue losing strength and dissipate throughout the outlook period as the system encounters land interaction with Southeastern China.


2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*

SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Depression (TD) as it moves across the northern part of Fujian Province...about 119 km west-southwest of Fuzhou City, China [2AM JUL 10: 24.4N 118.4E @ 45kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.


MONDAY EARLY MORNING: No longer a Tropical Cyclone (just an area of low pressure) as it moves overland across the Fujian-Jiangxi-Zhejiang Border…about 246 km west of Wenzhou City, China [2AM JUL 11: 27.9N 118.1E @ 30kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.


*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 545 km (Small)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 55 km from the center


Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat Jul 09, 2016
Location of Center: Near 24.0º N Lat 119.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 134 km SE of Xiamen City, China
Distance 2: 233 km S of Fuzhou City, China
Distance 3: 258 km WSW of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 439 km NW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 5: 1060 km NNW of Metro Manila


Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.



No comments: