for Wednesday, 14 January 2015 [9:34 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 7:45 PM PhT (11:45 GMT) Wednesday 14 January 2015
Next Update: Thursday Morning, 15 January 2015
Tropical Depression 01W has strengthened into a Tropical Storm internationally named "Mekkhala" (Thailand's name for Angel of Thunder). This cyclone is currently moving towards the Philippine Sea and could pose a threat to Eastern Visayas and the Bicol Region this weekend...forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning (Thursday).
This cyclone will therefore enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the eastern sections of Luzon through the weekend..
Residents and visitors along Mindanao, Visayas and Southern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Mekkhala.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
None for the next 48 hours.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Jan 14...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Mekkhala
Location: Over Western Micronesia (near 10.7N 137.9E)
About: 145 km north of Yap Island...or 1,295 km east-northeast of Siargao Island
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 985 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 25 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 20 kph
Towards: Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Mekkhala is expected to continue moving west-northwestward during the next 24 hours...bending westward to west-southwestward through the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TS Mekkhala shall enter the PAR on Thursday morning and shall be cruising along the eastern part of the Philippine Sea by Friday afternoon.
TS Mekkhala will keep its current strength within the next 24 hours...and will further intensify through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 75 kph by Friday afternoon.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains strength as it entered PAR...about 945 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2PM JAN 15: 11.8N 134.1E @ 65kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens as it bends westward to west-southwestward across the eastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 525 km east of Borongan City [2PM JAN 16: 11.6N 130.2E @ 75kph].
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Still intensifying over the western part of the Philippine Sea...shifts westward to west-northwestward in the general direction of Northern Samar...about 240 km east-northeast of Borongan City [2PM JAN 17: 11.9N 127.6E @ 85kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Jan 14, 2015
Location of Center: Near 10.7º N Lat 137.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 315 km E of P.A.R.
Distance 2: 810 km WSW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 3: 530 km NE of Koror, Palau
Distance 4: 1330 km E of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 5: 1360 km ENE of Surigao City
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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