for Thursday, 15 January 2015 [10:00 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (AMANG) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 7:45 AM PhT (23:45 GMT) Thursday 15 January 2015
Next Update: Thursday Afternoon, 15 January 2015
Tropical Storm (TS) MEKKHALA enters the Philippine Area of Responsbility (PAR) and is now locally named AMANG...threatens Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region, with a close approach along the northern shores of Samar on Sunday morning.
This cyclone will therefore enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the eastern sections of Luzon through the weekend..
Residents and visitors along Mindanao, Visayas, Southeastern and Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Mekkhala (Amang).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Samar, Northeastern Leyte incl. Tacloban City, Eastern and Southern Bicol - beginning Friday evening (Jan 16) through Sunday morning (Jan 18).
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Bicol Region Northeastern Panay, Northern Negros, Northern Cebu, Camotes Islands, Rest of Leyte incl. Biliran Island, and Surigao Del Norte incl. Dinagat and Siargao Islands - beginning Friday evening (Jan 16) through Sunday morning (Jan 18).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Jan 15...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Mekkhala (Amang)
Location: Over the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea (near 11.2N 135.0E)
About: 390 km west-northwest of Yap Island...or 1,015 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 50 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 830 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West @ 25 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 16 kph
Towards: Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Mekkhala (Amang) is expected to resume moving slightly west-northwestward during the next 24 hours...bending again to the west through the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TS Mekkhala (Amang) will be cruising along the central to the mid-western part of the Philippine Sea on Friday early morning through Saturday early morning.
TS Mekkhala (Amang) will slightly strengthen within the next 24 hours...and will further gain strength through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 85 kph by early Saturday morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens slowly as it moves across the Central Philippine Sea...about 710 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2AM JAN 16: 11.8N 131.9E @ 75kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to intensify as it moves due west across the mid-western part of the Philippine Sea, closer to Eastern Samar...about 315 km east of Borongan City [2AM JAN 17: 11.7N 128.3E @ 85kph].
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength as it tracks west-northwest...passing very near the northeastern coast of Samar...about 115 km east-northeast of Catarman, Northern Samar [2AM JAN 18: 12.8N 125.6E @ 85kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Jan 15, 2015
Location of Center: Near 11.2º N Lat 135.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 450 km NNE of Koror, Palau
Distance 2: 985 km ENE of Siargao Island
Distance 3: 1050 km ESE of Borongan City
Distance 4: 1090 km E of Tacloban City
Distance 5: 1205 km ESE of Virac, Catanduanes
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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