Tuesday, January 20, 2015

LPA...Ex-TD MEKKHALA (AMANG) Update #019 [FINAL]

 



for Monday, 19 January 2015 [7:45 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

LOW PRESSURE AREA FORMERLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEKKHALA (AMANG) UPDATE NUMBER 019 [FINAL]
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday 19 January 2015

Tropical Depression MEKKHALA (AMANG) has dissipated into an area of low pressure as it makes another landfall over Aurora and tracks over Southern Isabela.

The remnants of Mekkhala (Amang) and the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) will continue to bring cooler, windy and cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along Northern Luzon...becoming moderate to heavy across the Babuyan and Batanes Group of Islands, and Cagayan within the next 24 hours..

*This is the last and final update on Mekkhala (Amang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the remnants of current tropical cyclone.

  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Babuyan and Batanes Group of Islands - until Tuesday morning (Jan 20).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Jan 19...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: LPA formerly TD Mekkhala (Amang)
Location: Over Southeastern Isabela (near 16.8N 122.3E)
About: 25 km south-southwest of Palanan, Isabela...or 110 km southeast of Tuguegarao, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 50 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 700 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 26 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast
Towards: Babuyan Channel

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Jan 19, 2015
Location of Center: Near 16.8º N Lat 122.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 75 km NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 185 km ENE of Baguio City
Distance 3: 190 km S of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 70 km SE of Ilagan Isabela
Distance 5: 65 km E of Cauayan, Isabela

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118230657.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118230844.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on Ex-TD MEKKHALA (AMANG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2014 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

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Posted by MJ Klein at 13:32 0 comments

TD MEKKHALA (AMANG) Update #018

 



for Monday, 19 January 2015 [2:40 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEKKHALA (AMANG) UPDATE NUMBER 018
Issued at: 2:30 AM PhT (18:30 GMT) Monday 19 January 2015
Next Update: Mid-Monday Morning, 19 January 2015

MEKKHALA (AMANG) weakens into a Tropical Depression after passing over Polillo Island a few hours ago...now moving near the coast of Baler, Aurora...prepares to make its Final Landfall.

This cyclone will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the northern and eastern sections of Luzon through the weekend..

Residents and visitors along the Bicol Region, Southern and Central Luzon should closely monitor the development of Mekkhala (Amang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Polilio Islands, Northern Aurora, Eastern Isabela and Southeastern Cagayan - through Monday morning (Jan 19).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Quezon, Southern Aurora, Eastern parts of Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Mt. Province and Apayao, and Central and Northern parts of Cagayan - through Monday morning (Jan 19).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT today, Jan 19...1500 GMT.

Classification/Name: TD Mekkhala (Amang)
Location: Over Baler Bay (near 15.5N 121.7E)
About: 35 km south-southeast of Baler, Aurora...or 75 km east-northeast of Cabanatuan City, Nueva Ecija
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 50 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 700 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 22 kph
Forecast Movement: North @ 19 kph
Towards: Aurora


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TD Mekkhala (Amang) is expected to move northward throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TD Mekkhala (Amang) will be making landfall over Aurora early Monday morning...and will cross the rugged terrain of the Sierra Madre Mountains. It will eventually dissipate into an area of low pressure over Cagayan on Monday evening.

TD Mekkhala (Amang) will continue to weaken rapidly throughout the forecast outlook as it moves over the land mass of Northern Luzon...dissipating into a remnant Low Pressure Area over Cagayan on Monday evening. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 30 kph on Monday evening.

The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) while moving across Cagayan Province...about 55 km north-northeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan [8PM JAN 19: 18.0N 122.0E @ 30kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sun Jan 18, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.5º N Lat 121.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 90 km SSW of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 80 km N of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 3: 120 km NE of Metro Manila
Distance 4: 155 km SE of Baguio City
Distance 5: 200 km NW of Daet, Camarines Norte

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:


http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118203537.gif
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118203727.GIF

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD MEKKHALA (AMANG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

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Posted by MJ Klein at 13:26 0 comments

TS MEKKHALA Update #017

 



for Sunday, 18 January 2015 [8:55 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM MEKKHALA (AMANG) UPDATE NUMBER 017
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday 18 January 2015
Next Update: Monday Early Morning, 19 January 2015

Tropical Storm MEKKHALA (AMANG) has weakened slightly after traversing the low mountains of Camarines Provinces...now off the northwestern coast of Camarines Norte or over Lamon Bay...expected to pass over Polillo Islands tonight.

This cyclone will therefore enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the northern and eastern sections of Luzon through the weekend..

Residents and visitors along the Bicol Region, Southern and Central Luzon should closely monitor the development of Mekkhala (Amang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Polilio Islands, Northern Aurora, Eastern Isabela and Southeastern Cagayan - through Monday morning (Jan 19).
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northern Quezon, Southern Aurora, Eastern parts of Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Mt. Province and Apayao, and Central and Northern parts of Cagayan - through Monday morning (Jan 19).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Camarines Norte, Northern part of Southern Quezon, Most parts of Laguna, Rizal, Metro Manila, Bulacan, Rest of Nueva Ecija, Easternmost part of Pangasinan, Benguet, Southeastern part Of Ilocos Sur, Eastern Abra, Kalinga, Rest areas of Cagayan, Apayao, Mt. Province, Ifugao and Nueva Vizcaya - through Monday morning (Jan 19).
WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): The Bicol Region incl. Burias and Ticao Islands - through Sunday evening (Jan 18)..


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Jan 18...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Mekkhala (Amang)
Location: Over Lamon Bay (near 14.5N 122.4E)
About: 70 km northwest of Daet, Camarines Norte...or 80 km east-southeast of Daet, Camarines Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 50 to 330 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 850 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: Northwest @ 18 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest to North-Northwest @ 08 kph
Towards: Polillo-Aurora Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Mekkhala (Amang) is expected to move northwest to north-northwest throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TS Mekkhala (Amang) will be crossing the Polilio Islands tonight...and move towards the coastal areas of Aurora by Monday morning. It shall make its final landfall over or very near Baler, Aurora on Monday afternoon. Mekkhala shall be over Ifugao on Tuesday afternoon

TS Mekkhala (Amang) will continue to weaken throughout the forecast outlook as it moves over the land mass of Northern Luzon...decaying into a Tropical Depression (TD) on Monday and eventually into a dissipating or remnant Low Pressure Area over Ifugao on Tuesday afternoon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph on Monday afternoon.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a TD as it makes landfall over Aurora...about 10 km north of Baler, Aurora [2PM JAN 19: 15.9N 121.6E @ 55kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Traversing the mountainous terrain of Northern Luzon and dies into an area of weak low pressure over Ifugao...about 80 km northeast of Baguio City, Benguet [2PM JAN 20: 16.8N 121.2E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Jan 18, 2015
Location of Center: Near 14.5º N Lat 122.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 60 km ESE of Polillo Islands
Distance 2: 90 km NNW of Ragay, CamSur
Distance 3: 120 km NE of Lucena City
Distance 4: 130 km NW of Metro Naga
Distance 5: 150 km E of Metro Manila

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118111558.gif

__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:


http://weather.com.ph/images/20150118111719.GIF
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/01W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


__________________________________________________________________________________________________


NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS MEKKHALA (AMANG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm
Copyright © 2015 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

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Posted by MJ Klein at 13:22 0 comments

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