Tuesday, June 18, 2013

TS LEEPI (EMONG) Update #004


for Tuesday, 18 June 2013 [7:11 PM PhT]


Issued: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday 18 June 2013
Next Update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 19 June 2013

LEEPI [EMONG] becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it continues to accelerate across the North Philippine Sea...increasing its threat to Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands.

This storm will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and bring windy/cloudy conditions with occasionally slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZON, Visayas, Western Luzon, and Western Bicol tonight through tomorrow. Flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along mountain slopes.

Residents and visitors along the east coast of Central and Northern Luzon should closely monitor the development of LEEPI (EMONG).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.


As of 6:00 pm today, the center of TS Leepi (Emong) was located over the North Philippine Sea...about 445 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 484 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes...currently moving north with an increased forward speed of 24 km/hr in the general direction of Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands Area.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 65 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Leepi (Emong) is a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 935 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Leepi (Emong) is estimated to be heavy (220 mm).


TS Leepi (Emong) is expected to accelerate more to the north-northeast to northeast during the next 24 to 48 hours...with a turn to the east-northeast through 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Leepi (Emong) will be just along the open waters of the North Philippine Sea through Wednesday evening and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It could pass very close to the west of Okinawa and the Ryukyu Islands on Thursday morning...and move very near the coast of Southern Japan (Kyushu-Shikoku-Honshu) on Thursday evening through Friday evening.

Leepi (Emong) is forecast to continue intensifying during the next 2 days...reaching its highest wind intensity of 95 km/hr on Thursday. On Friday, the storm is likely to start losing strength.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

WEDNESDAY EVENING: Continues to intensify as it turns north-northeast to northeast, approaching Okinawa and the Ryukyus...about 235 km south-southwest of Okinawa, Japan [6PM JUNE 19: 24.8N 126.4E @ 85kph].
THURSDAY EVENING: At peak intensity while bearing down the coast of Southern Kyushu...about 145 km south of Kagoshima, Japan [6PM JUNE 20: 30.3N 130.4E @ 95kph].
FRIDAY EVENING: Starts to weaken while passing very close to the southern coast of Honshu...about 138 km south-southeast of Tokyo, Japan [6PM JUNE 21: 34.5N 140.1E @ 85kph].


Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

ELONGATED RAINBANDS - over water (Philippine Sea). Affected Areas: None. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-60 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 220 mm (heavy) along areas to the north and south of Leepi (Emong).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Tue June 18, 2013
Class/Name: TS Leepi (Emong)
Location of Center: 18.9º N Lat 126.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km ENE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 2: 463 km NE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 3: 484 km ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 488 km ENE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 506 km ESE of Calayan Island
Distance 6: 537 km NE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 7: 656 km SSE of Ishigaki-Jima
Distance 8: 730 km NE of Metro Manila
Distance 9: 747 km SSE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 10: 859 km S of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph
Present Movement: North @ 24 kph
Towards: Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [220 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 935 km [Very Large]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)

T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)










>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:


For the complete details on TS LEEPI (EMONG)...go visit our website @:


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