Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014
Name: TROPICAL STORM SINLAKU [MARCE/15W/0813]
Issued: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) WED 17 SEPTEMBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #035
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #035
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM SINLAKU (MARCE) CONTINUES TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEAST IN THE
DIRECTION OF KYUSHU, JAPAN...RAINBANDS REMAINS DISPLACED EAST OF THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SINLAKU is expected to turn NE for the next 2 days and
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SINLAKU is expected to turn NE for the next 2 days and
shall cross southern Kyushu by late Thursday evening or early Friday mor-
ning. The system is forecast to lose its tropical characteristics,
becoming an Extratropical Cyclone Thursday night approaches the SW Coast
of Kyushu and cross the southern portions of Kyushu, Shikoku and Honshu
of Kyushu and cross the southern portions of Kyushu, Shikoku and Honshu
on Friday until Saturday afternoon.
+ EFFECTS: SINLAKU remains under increasing Vertical Wind Shear (VWS)
+ EFFECTS: SINLAKU remains under increasing Vertical Wind Shear (VWS)
(upper-level winds) as its thick convection remains displaced east of the
low-level circulation center (LLCC). The storm's sheared rainbands will
continue to affect Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands. Cloudy skies w/ moderate to
heavy squalls with winds not exceeding 60 km/hr can be expected along its
rainbands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 & up to 200 mm can be ex-
pected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must
remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods
& landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this
system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH:
MB) over the Mid-Western Pacific Ocean has been growing in size with its
possible Low-Level Circulation Center (LLCC) hard to locate..continues
to drift Westward slowly...relocated near lat 17.0N lon 144.0E...about
410 km NNW of Guam...packing sustained winds of 35 km/hr. This system
will be closely monitored for possible development into Tropical Cyclone
in the coming hours or days. For more details click this new, cool
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) WED 17 SEP 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.7º N...LONGITUDE 126.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 230 KM (125 NM) NW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 375 KM (202 NM) WSW OF NAJE ISLAND, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 615 (332 NM) SW OF KAGOSHIMA, KYUSHU, JAPAN
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.7º N...LONGITUDE 126.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 230 KM (125 NM) NW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 375 KM (202 NM) WSW OF NAJE ISLAND, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 615 (332 NM) SW OF KAGOSHIMA, KYUSHU, JAPAN
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN KYUSHU, JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME WED SEP 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
LIVE RADAR: CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU, TAIWAN
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: None
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 28.4N 127.0E / 95-120 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN KYUSHU, JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME WED SEP 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
LIVE RADAR: CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU, TAIWAN
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: None
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 28.4N 127.0E / 95-120 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 29.6N 128.1E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 19 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 32.3N 132.0E / 95-120 KPH / ENE @ 28 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 35.1N 138.4E / 85-100 KPH / ENE @ 39 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 35.1N 138.4E / 85-100 KPH / ENE @ 39 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 27.5N 125.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) SINLAKU (15W) HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MODERATE WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS. HOWEVER, RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER
LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT OUTFLOW ALOFT HAS
INCREASED ON BOTH THE POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD SIDES OF THE
TROPICAL STORM. THIS INCREASE IN OUTFLOW HAS FUELED RENEWED
DEEP CONVECTION OVER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRC-
ULATION CENTER (LLCC). MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
162117Z QUIKSCAT PASS SHOW THAT THIS LLCC REMAINS QUITE VIGOROUS
DESPITE THE RECENT WEAKENING TREND...(more)
>> SINLAKU {pronounced: seen~la~ku}, meaning: Kosrae legendary goddess.
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
____________
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGOUND.COM TRACKING CHART :
RECENT WUNDERGOUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/ )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.
____________
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS SINLAKU (MARCE)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS SINLAKU (MARCE)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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