Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS SINLAKU (MARCE)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #013

Name: TROPICAL STORM SINLAKU [MARCE/15W/0813]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 16 SEPTEMBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #030
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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SINLAKU (MARCE) LOSES STRENGTH...NOW JUST A STRONG TROPICAL STORM...

RAINBANDS STILL AFFECTING THE SMALL PACIFIC ISLANDS OF YAEYAMA,

OKINAWA AND RYUKYU.

*Residents along Okinawa-Ryukyu Island Chain & the Southern Coast of Kyushu in Japan should closely
monitor the progress of SINLAKU.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SINLAKU is expected to move slowly on an East to ENE

track, accelerating for the next 5-days. The system shall pass just to the

north of Okinawa Island by tomorrow. It is then forecast to lose its tro-

pical characteristics, becoming an Extratropical Cyclone on Thursday or

Friday as it passes along the southern coasts of Kyushu, Shikoku and

Honshu.

+ EFFECTS: SINLAKU's disorganized rainbands will continue to affect Yae-

yama, Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands. Cloudy skies w/ moderate to heavy

squalls with winds not exceeding 50 km/hr can be expected along its outer

bands, with increasing winds and more pronounce rainfall within the inner

bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 200 & up to 400 mm can be expected

along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must re-

main alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods

& landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this

system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible

coastal Storm Surge flooding of 2 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...

along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and

to the north of SINLAKU's projected path particularly on where the center

passes by. Minimal damage is possible on this type of storm surge.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY:

The weak Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to

be enhanced by TS SINLAKU (MARCE) - across Western Luzon. This wind system

is expected to bring mostly cloudy skies with possible "on-&-off" light to

moderate to sometimes heavy rains & winds not exceeding 30 km/hr.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) TUE 16 SEP 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.0º N...LONGITUDE 123.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 300 KM (162 NM) NE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 2: 305 KM (165 NM) ESE OF WENZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 440 KM (238 NM) WNW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 4: 635 KM (343 NM) WSW OF NAJE ISLAND

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 110 KM/HR (60 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 978 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: EAST @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN COAST OF KYUSHU, JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME TUE SEP 16
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
LIVE RADAR: CENTRAL WEATHER BUREAU, TAIWAN
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: None

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 27.1N 124.6E / 100-130 KPH / ENE @ 13 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 27.6N 126.0E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 13 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 29.8N 128.7E / 95-120 KPH / ENE @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 32.0N 132.2E / 95-120 KPH / ENE @ 30 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 26.9N 123.2E.
^...(more)

>> SINLAKU {pronounced: seen~la~ku}, meaning: Kosrae legendary goddess.
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
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RECENT WUNDERGOUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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