Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT [NINA/18W/0814]
Issued: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) SUN 21 SEPTEMBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #011
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #011
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM HAGUPIT (NINA) ALMOST A TYPHOON AS IT CONTINUES TO
TRACK NORTHWESTWARD...CLOSER TO EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON ...OUTER RAIN
BANDS AFFECTING THE EASTERN COAST OF LUZON.
*Residents along Isabela, Cagayan, Batanes-Babuyan-Calayan Islands & Taiwan should closely monitor
the progress of HAGUPIT (NINA).
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HAGUPIT is expected to turn WNW tomorrow morning...
*Residents along Isabela, Cagayan, Batanes-Babuyan-
the progress of HAGUPIT (NINA).
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HAGUPIT is expected to turn WNW tomorrow morning...
becoming a Category 1 Typhoon tonight. The 2 to 5-day long-range forecast
shows HAGUPIT, passing over or very close to Batanes Island tomorrow eve-
ning. It shall then move out into the South China Sea on Tuesday, Sep 23.
The typhoon shall be approaching the southern coast of Guangdong Province
of China, near Hong Kong-Macau area on Wednesday morning Sep 24...making
landfall just west of Macau Wednesday afternoon. HAGUPIT shall dissipate
along Northern Vietnam on Friday afternoon, Sep 26.
+ EFFECTS: HAGUPIT's large circulation remains over the Philippine Sea,
+ EFFECTS: HAGUPIT's large circulation remains over the Philippine Sea,
with the appearance of the eye as of this moment. Its outer bands conti-
nues to affect the Bicol Region, Samar Provinces and across the Eastern
Coast of Luzon. Under these bands, the affected areas will experience
light to moderate rainfall w/ winds not exceeding 50 km/hr. Moderate to
heavy Squalls associated with the outer bands can be expected along the
affected areas. Deteriorating weather conditions can be expected early
tomorrow morning across Extreme Northern Luzon, as the inner rainbands
approaches. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert
& seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods & landslides
due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precau-
tionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm
Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large
and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the east of
HAGUPIT's projected path particularly on where the center passes by across
Extreme Northern Luzon. Minimal damage is possible on this type of storm
surge.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The surge of the Southwest (SW) Monsoon
which has been enhanced by TS HAGUPIT (NINA) continues to affect Metro
Manila, Western Luzon, Visayas including Palawan & Mindoro. This wind
system is expected to bring mostly cloudy skies with possible "on-&-off"
light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains & winds not exceeding 40 km/hr.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) SUN 21 SEP 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 17.5º N...LONGITUDE 126.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 455 KM (245 NM) EAST OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 465 KM (250 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 515 KM (278 NM) ESE OF CALAYAN IS., CAGAYAN, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 17.5º N...LONGITUDE 126.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 455 KM (245 NM) EAST OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 465 KM (250 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 515 KM (278 NM) ESE OF CALAYAN IS., CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 535 KM (290 NM) SE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 110 KM/HR (60 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 978 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME SUN SEP 21
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - CAGAYAN, BABUYAN, CALAYAN, ISABELA.
#01 - CATANDUANES, CAMARINES SUR, CAMARINES NORTE, NORTHERN QUEZON,
POLILLO ISLAND, AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, NUEVA ECIJA,
PANGASINAN, IFUGAO, MT. PROVINCE, BENGUET, LA UNION, ILOCOS
NORTE, ILOCOS SUR, KALINGA, ABRA, APAYAO & BATANES.
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:PEAK WIND GUSTS: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 978 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME SUN SEP 21
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - CAGAYAN, BABUYAN, CALAYAN, ISABELA.
#01 - CATANDUANES, CAMARINES SUR, CAMARINES NORTE, NORTHERN QUEZON,
POLILLO ISLAND, AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, NUEVA ECIJA,
PANGASINAN, IFUGAO, MT. PROVINCE, BENGUET, LA UNION, ILOCOS
NORTE, ILOCOS SUR, KALINGA, ABRA, APAYAO & BATANES.
2 AM (18 GMT) 22 SEPTEMBER: 18.5N 124.7E / 130-160 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 22 SEPTEMBER: 19.4N 122.9E / 160-195 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 23 SEPTEMBER: 20.7N 118.1E / 185-230 KPH / W @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 SEPTEMBER: 21.7N 112.6E / 160-195 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 SEPTEMBER: 21.7N 112.6E / 160-195 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 21 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 17.2N 126.4E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (HAGUPIT) HAS INTENSIFIED SLOWLY
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE CONTINUING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD
TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH.
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS FURTHER CONSOLIDATED,
AS EVIDENCED BY A MORE SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY, AND RECENT ANIMATED WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A MARKED IMPROVEMENT IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW
...(more)
>> HAGUPIT {pronounced: ha~goo~peet}
Name contributed by: Philippines.
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 21 SEPTEMBER: 17.5N 126.2E / WNW @ 19 KPH / 120 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/ )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.
____________
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS HAGUPIT (NINA)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS HAGUPIT (NINA)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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