Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TROPICAL STORM SINLAKU [MARCE/15W/0813]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 09 SEPTEMBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
MARCE (15W) GROWS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...NOW INTERNATIONALLY KNOWN AS
SINLAKU...DRIFTING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE PHILIPPINE SEA...OUTER RAINBANDS
SPREADING OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF LUZON INCLUDING THE BICOL REGION.
*Residents along Okinawa, Ryukyu Island Chain & the Southern Coast of Japan should
closely monitor the progress of SINLAKU.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SINLAKU is expected to continue on its slow NW to a
Northerly track within the next 24 hours, reaching Typhoon status tomo-
*Residents along Okinawa, Ryukyu Island Chain & the Southern Coast of Japan should
closely monitor the progress of SINLAKU.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SINLAKU is expected to continue on its slow NW to a
Northerly track within the next 24 hours, reaching Typhoon status tomo-
rrow afternoon. The 2 to 5-day long-range forecast shows the system re-
curving towards the NNE beginning Thursday (Sep 11)..picking-up speed on
Friday towards Southern Japan. Intensity forecast shows SINLAKU becoming
almost a Category 3 in the Saffir-Simpson Scale with winds of 175 km/hr
around Friday. Majority of the forecast models still agrees on the future
track of SINLAKU.
+ EFFECTS: SINLAKU's circulation continues to improve and expand over the
track of SINLAKU.
+ EFFECTS: SINLAKU's circulation continues to improve and expand over the
Philippine Sea with its western and southern outer bands affecting the
eastern coast of Luzon and the Bicol Region. Widespread moderate to heavy
rains & thunderstorms accompanied with some winds not exceeding 30 km/hr
can be expected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep
slopes must seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods &
landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system.
Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon now being enhanced
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon now being enhanced
by TS SINLAKU (MARCE) across Southern & Western Luzon including Metro Ma-
nila, Visayas, Palawan & Western Mindanao. This wind system is expected
to bring mostly cloudy skies with possible "on-&-off" light to moderate
to sometimes heavy rains & winds not exceeding 30 km/hr today. Landslides,
mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur
along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone
areas of the affected areas. Meanwhile, ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affec-
ting the whole Philippines. It shall bring widespread scattered rains and
thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon or evening.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.9º N...LONGITUDE 125.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 370 KM (200 NM) ENE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.9º N...LONGITUDE 125.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 370 KM (200 NM) ENE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 410 KM (220 NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 430 KM (230 NM) SE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 430 KM (230 NM) SE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: OKINAWA-SOUTHERN JAPAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 370 KM (200 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - CAGAYAN & ISABELA.
#01 - CATANDUANES, POLILLO ISLAND, AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA,
BENGUET, IFUGAO, MT. PROVINCE, ILOCOS SUR, ILOCOS NORTE, ABRA,
KALINGA, APAYAO, BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS AND BATANES GROUP OF
ISLANDS.
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: OKINAWA-SOUTHERN JAPAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 370 KM (200 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - CAGAYAN & ISABELA.
#01 - CATANDUANES, POLILLO ISLAND, AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA,
BENGUET, IFUGAO, MT. PROVINCE, ILOCOS SUR, ILOCOS NORTE, ABRA,
KALINGA, APAYAO, BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS AND BATANES GROUP OF
ISLANDS.
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER: 17.5N 125.1E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 SEPTEMBER: 18.6N 124.8E / 100-130 KPH / N @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 11 SEPTEMBER: 20.7N 125.5E / 150-185 KPH / NE @ 09 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 SEPTEMEBR: 22.3N 127.1E / 175-215 KPH / NNE @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 SEPTEMEBR: 22.3N 127.1E / 175-215 KPH / NNE @ 13 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 16.7N 125.6E.
^THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TS STATUS BASED ON RAPIDLY IMPROVED CON-
SOLIDATION WITH DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 35 TO 45
KNOTS...(more)
>> SINLAKU {pronounced: seen~la~ku}, meaning: Kosrae legendary goddess.
Name contributed by: Micronesia.
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER: 16.9N 125.5E / NNW SLOWLY / 65 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGOUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/ )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.
____________
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS SINLAKU (MARCE)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS SINLAKU (MARCE)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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