Wednesday, July 26, 2017



Tropical Depression (GORIO) Update Number 001


Issued at: 12:30 AM PhT (16:30 GMT) Wednesday 26 July 2017
Next update: Wednesday Afternoon, 26 July 2017
Current Status and Outlook

The strong low pressure area east of Legazpi City, Albay has developed into Tropical Depression (TD), bearing the local name: "GORIO". Its rainbands are expected to affect the Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region by bringing mostly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light rain showers and thunderstorms. 

This depression is expected to move north-northeast within the next 24 hours at a speed of 18 km/hr over the central part of the Central Philippine Sea.

*Residents living along the path of this depression must take all necessary precautions against heavy rains which can produce flash floods, landslides and overflowing of some river systems.

Where is (GORIO)?As of 11:00 PM PhT, July 25…1500 GMT.  The center was located over the western part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 13.8N 128.3E), about 353 km east-northeast of San Policarpio, Eastern Samar or 379 km east-northeast of Laoang, Northern Samar.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.

Past Movement (6 hrs)It was moving West-Northwest @ 12 kphtowards the central part of the Central Philippine Sea
Potential Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?*:: None.

*Where moderate to heavy rains of 30 to 100 millimeters will be expected.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

WEDNESDAY EVENING: Expected to be at the central part of the Central Philippine Sea while maintaining its current wind speed and gust…about 700 km east-northeast of Bagamanoc, Catanduanes [8PM July 26: 16.5N 130.2E @ 55kph]Confidence Level:  HIGH.

THURSDAY EVENING: Continues to maintain its current intensity but changes its movement from east-northeast to north-northwest…about 728 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan [8PM July 27: 18.6N 129.0E @ 55kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

FRIDAY EVENING: Intensifies into a Typhoon while maintaining its movement of north-northwest…about 347 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [8PM July 28: 21.3N 125.2E @ 150kph].  Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively…while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 50 to 120 mm [Moderate to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 375 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Tue July 25, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 13.8º N Lat 128.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 400 km NE of Llorente, Eastern Samar 
Distance 2: 412 km NE of General MacArthur, Eastern Samar
Distance 3: 425 km E of Baras, Catanduanes
Distance 4: 431 km NE of Basey, Samar
Distance 5: 790 km E of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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