WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON PRAPIROON (NINA) UPDATE NUMBER 023
Issued: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Monday 15 Oct 2012
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday 15 Oct 2012
Typhoon Prapiroon (Nina) has re-strengthened as it wobbles over the North Philippine Sea...currently interacting (aka. Fujiwhara Effect) with Tropical Storm Maria.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Maria (23W) has maintained its movement towards Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands and rapidly intensified. Its center was located about 526 km south-southeast of Iwo To or 677 km north-northwest of Saipan...with winds of 95 km/hr...moving north-northwest at 17 kph. Forecast to pass near Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands on Tuesday.
Residents and visitors along Okinawa and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of Prapiroon (Nina).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 12 noon today, the large eye of Typhoon Prapiroon (Nina) was located over the open waters of the North Philippine Sea...about 990 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes or 553 km south-southeast of Okinawa City, Japan...currently almost stationary during the past 6 hours.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 140 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 110 kilometers (60 nautical miles) from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 350 kilometers. These winds will remain over the open sea, not affecting any land areas. Prapiroon (Nina) is a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 1,055 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near and south of the center of Prapiroon (Nina) is estimated to be extreme (520 mm).
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Prapiroon (Nina) is expected to resume moving slowly north-northwest to north during the next 24 to 36 hours...and recurve sharply northeastward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of Prapiroon (Nina) will continue to remain over the open sea, but may move closer to Okinawa on Tuesday and Wednesday as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). This typhoon may start to accelerate at a faster speed towards the sea south of Japan without any direct effects on Thursday.
This typhoon is likely to gain more strength during the next 24 hours...and may start losing strength within 48 to 72 hours.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Mon October 15, 2012
Class/Name: Typhoon Prapiroon (Nina)
Location of Eye: 22.6º N Lat 131.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 535 km (SSE) closer to Naha Airport, Okinawa
Distance 2: 551 km (SSE) closer to Kadena Air Base, Okinawa
Distance 3: 553 km (SSE) closer to Okinawa City
Distance 4: 659 km (SSE) closer to Amami Is., Ryukyus
Distance 5: 990 km (ENE) away from Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 140 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 165 kph
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Sea East of Okinawa
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Extreme [520 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 967 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 1,055 km [Very Large]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 36 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 4-5 ft (1.2-1.7 m)
T2K StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY PRAPIROON (NINA)...go visit our website @:
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> http://www.maybagyo.com
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