Saturday, August 26, 2017

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 009 [FINAL]


Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 009 [FINAL]


Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Saturday 26 August 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) has slightly weakened as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It accelerated west-northwestward in the past 6 hours over the northeastern part of the West Philippine Sea. 

The storm is expected to move northwest for the next 24 hours at a forward speed of 34 km/hr. It will make its second landfall over the Coast of Western Guangdong, China. TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) will intensify into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) by Sunday early morning (Aug 27).

*This will be the Final Update on this tropical cyclone.

*TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) together with its associated Trough and a localized Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring "on-and-off" rains and thunderstorms across the Western Sections of Central Luzon tonight.

Where is PAKHAR (JOLINA)?As of 5:00 PM PhT, August 26…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the northeastern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 18.8N 117.5E), about 333 km west-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 351 km west of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center…Gustiness: 95 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Northwest @ 31 kphtowards Southern China.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it makes its second landfall over the Coast of Western Guangdong, China…248 km west of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 27: 22.3N 111.7E @ 110kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 805 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat August 26, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 18.8º N Lat 117.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 395 km NW of Alaminos City, Pangasinan
Distance 2: 423 km NW of Baguio City, Benguet
Distance 3: 439 km W of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 444 km WNW of Tabuk City, Kalinga
Distance 5: 604 km NW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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