Saturday, August 26, 2017

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 008


Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) Update Number 008





Issued at: 12:45 PM PhT (04:45 GMT) Saturday 26 August 2017
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Saturday, 26 August 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (JOLINA) has re-intensified and accelerated rapidly northwestward away from Northern Luzon, while emerging over the West Philippine Sea, along the southwestern part of the Balintang Channel.  The southeastern circulation and rainbands are currently affecting the western sections of Ilocos Region.

This storm is expected to move west-northwestward for the next 24 hours at a speed of 34 km/hr, across the northern part of the West Philippine Sea and exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon. PAKHAR (JOLINA) could become a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) tonight.

*TS PAKHAR (JOLINA) together with its associated Trough and a localized Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring "on-and-off" rains and thunderstorms across the Western Sections of Central and Southern Luzon today.

Where is PAKHAR (JOLINA)?As of 11:00 AM PhT, August 26…0300 GMT.  The center was located over the West Philippine Sea, or along the southwestern part of the Balintang Channel (near 18.4N 119.2E), about 149 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 172 km west of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Northwest @ 40 kphtowards Southern China.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected in 24 hours):
>> Zambales, Pangasinan, La Union, Western Abra, Ilocos Provinces  – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY MORNING: Intensifies into a minimal (Category 1) Typhoon as it approaches the coast of Western Guangdong (China)…about 169 km southwest of Hong Kong, China [8AM Aug 27: 21.2N 113.1E @ 120kph].  Confidence LevelHIGH

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 260 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 425 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sat August 26, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 18.4º N Lat 119.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 258 km W of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 261 km WNW of Tabuk City, Kalinga
Distance 3: 267 km NNW of Baguio City, Benguet
Distance 4: 288 km NNW of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
Distance 5: 469 km NNW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines



Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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