Bushman's Typhoon Blog: 2011

Tuesday, December 20, 2011

TS WASHI [SENDONG] - Final Update

for Tuesday, 20 December 2011 [7:35 AM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tuesday Dec 20 2011):

Ending the 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on WASHI (SENDONG).

Please HELP the victims of WASHI: Xavier University (CDO) | Philippine Red Cross

WASHI (SENDONG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL DEPRESSION WASHI [SENDONG/27W/1121]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020 **FINAL**
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Mon 19 Dec 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Final Warning #026/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

WASHI (SENDONG) has dissipated into an area of Low Pressure while over the South China Sea.

*This is the last and final advisory on WASHI.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue December 20 2011
Location of Center: 10.0º N Lat 110.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 260 km SSE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 2: 372 km ESE of Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam
Distance 3: 486 km WSW of Pagasa Island
Distance 4: 954 km WNW of Puerto Princesa
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 35 kph (20 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 45 kph (25 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: South China Sea
NOAA 12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 100 mm (High)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 1-20 mm/hr (Light-Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 8 PM PhT Mon Dec 19

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

RAINBANDS - over water (South China Sea)...not affecting any land areas. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ light to moderate winds (<44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 50 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 51 to 100 mm (medium to high) along areas near the center of WASHI (SENDONG). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD WASHI (SENDONG)

PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2711.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: WASHI's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr) new!
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS WASHI (SENDONG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Monday, December 19, 2011

TS WASHI [SENDONG] - Update #019

for Monday, 19 December 2011 [5:43 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Dec 17 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on WASHI (SENDONG).

WASHI (SENDONG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL DEPRESSION WASHI [SENDONG/27W/1121]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 019
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Mon 19 Dec 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #025/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

WASHI (SENDONG) downgraded to a Tropical Depression while over the South China Sea...likely to dissipate within 24 hours.

Meanwhile, WASHI continues to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (aka. Amihan) across Northern Luzon. Windy conditions, cooler temperatures, & cloudy skies w/ passing occasional to widespread rains will be expected. Rough seas along the coastal areas facing the Philippine Sea will prevail.

Sailors, Mariners and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the progress of WASHI (SENDONG).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon December 19 2011
Location of Center: 9.9º N Lat 111.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 324 km WSW of Pagasa Island
Distance 2: 366 km SE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 545 km ESE of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 4: 778 km West of Puerto Princesa
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 17 kph (09 kts)
Towards: South China Sea
NOAA 12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 130 mm (High)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 30-50 mm/hr (Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Mon Dec 19

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

WASHI (SENDONG) is expected to move SW-ward over the next 12 hours and dissipate over the South China Sea in 24 hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. WASHI (SENDONG) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. .

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it moves SW across the open waters of the South China Sea, south of Vietnam [2AM DEC 20: 9.2N 110.1E @ 45kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipated over water (South China Sea)...just an area of low pressure [2PM DEC 20: 8.3N 107.9E @ 35kph].

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

RAINBANDS - over water (South China Sea)...not affecting any land areas. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ light to moderate winds (<44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 350 mm (high) along areas near the center of WASHI (SENDONG). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Messages in this topic (1)

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TS WASHI [SENDONG] - Update #018

for Monday, 19 December 2011 [12:15 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Dec 17 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on WASHI (SENDONG).

WASHI (SENDONG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL STORM WASHI [SENDONG/27W/1121]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 018
11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Mon 19 Dec 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #024/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

Tropical Storm WASHI (SENDONG) continues to lose strength while moving West to WSW across the South China Sea.

Meanwhile, WASHI continues to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (aka. Amihan) across Northern Luzon. Windy conditions, cooler temperatures, & cloudy skies w/ passing occasional to widespread rains will be expected. Rough seas along the coastal areas facing the Philippine Sea will prevail.

Sailors, Mariners and Sea Navigators near its path should closely monitor the progress of WASHI (SENDONG).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon December 19 2011
Location of Center: 9.6º N Lat 112.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 250 km SW of Pagasa Island
Distance 2: 470 km SE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 669 km West of Puerto Princesa
Distance 4: 659 km ESE of Ho Chi Minh City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: WSW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: South China Sea
NOAA 24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 350 mm (High)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 30-50 mm/hr (Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Mon Dec 19

36-HOUR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

WASHI (SENDONG) is expected to move SW-ward over the next 12 to 24 hours and dissipate over the South China Sea by 36 hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 75 km/hr (40 knots) with higher gusts. WASHI (SENDONG) is a Tropical Storm (TS) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. .

Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 km/hr) extend outward up to 95 kilometers (50 nautical miles) from the center. WASHI (SENDONG) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 370 kilometers (200 nautical miles).

The following is the summary of the 36-hour forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it moves SW across the open waters of the South China Sea, south of Vietnam...just a Tropical Depression (TD) [8AM DEC 20: 6.1N 108.3E @ 45kph].
TUESDAY EVENING: Dissipated over water (South China Sea)...just an area of low pressure [8PM DEC 20: 4.2N 106.4E @ 35kph].

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) - over water (South China Sea)...not affecting any land areas. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 kph) will be expected along the CDO. (click here to know more about CDO).
INNER RAINBANDS - over water (South China Sea)...not affecting land areas. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ Strong Winds (45-61 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - over water (South China Sea)...not affecting any land areas. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ light to moderate winds (<44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 350 mm (high) along areas near the center of WASHI (SENDONG). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m] above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Vietnam. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Palawan. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TS WASHI (SENDONG)

PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2711.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hours Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: WASHI's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr) new!
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop