Monday, September 10, 2018

Tropical Storm 27W (NENENG) Update No. 03

 

Tropical Storm 27W (NENENG) Update No. 03

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (NENENG) UPDATE NO. 02

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 10 September 2018
Next update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Tuesday, 11 September 2018
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression 27W (NENENG) has intensified and accelerated west-southwestward across the central portion of the Bashi Channel, and is now a Tropical Storm (TS).   Its rainbands will continue to bring occasional to widespread moderate, heavy to extreme rains across Batanes and Babuyan Islands, and Ilocos Provinces today. 

24-hr Outlook: TS 27W (NENENG) is expected to maintain its intensity as it moves west-southwestward across the western part of the Bashi Channel with a slightly decreased forward speed of 12 km/hr. It shall then move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow, Tuesday early morning (Sept 11).

Where is 27W (NENENG)?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, September 10…0900 GMT. The center was located over the mid-western part of the Bashi Channel (near 21.4°N 120.5°E), about 138 km south of Kaohsiung, Taiwan or 163 km south-southwest of Taitung , Taiwan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)West-Southwest @ 14 kph, towards the Western Part of the Bashi Channel.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)::  None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?Moderate to Extreme Rains (30 to more than 100 mm expected):
>> Ilocos Provinces and the Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands – Today

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its intensity as a Tropical Storm (TS) as it exits the PAR while moving on west-southwestward across the western part of Bashi Channel…about 305 km southwest of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2PM Sept 11: 20.8°N 118.1°E @ 65kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Already outside PAR as it slightly intensifies over the Northern part of the South China Sea…about 237 km southeast of Hong Kong, China [2PM Sept 12: 20.7°N 115.5°E @ 75kph].  Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 265 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional InformationTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon September 10, 2018
Location of Center/Eye: Near 21.4ºN Lat 120.5ºE Lon
Distance 1: 251 km NNW of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 2: 315 km N of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 3: 359 km NNW of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 418 km SSW of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 5: 761 km N of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.8ºN 118.1ºE (TS)
48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.7ºN 115.5ºE (TS)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Redmund G. Nacario for WeatherPhilippines

https://weatherph.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Neneng18_02_Signals.png


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Posted by: T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com
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