Tropical Depression 27W (NENENG) Update No. 02

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (NENENG) UPDATE NO. 02 Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Monday, 10 September 2018 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 10 September 2018
Current Status and Outlook	Tropical Depression 27W has slightly intensified and accelerated west-southwestward across the central portion of the Bashi Channel. It is now named locally as "NENENG." Its rainbands will continue to bring occasional to widespread moderate, heavy to extreme rains across Batanes and Babuyan Islnnds, and Ilocos Provinces today. 24-hr Outlook: TD 27W (NENENG) is expected to become a Tropical Storm (TS) tonight as it moves west-southwestward across the western part of the Bashi Channel at a decreased forward speed of 09 km/hr. It shall then move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow, Tuesday morning (Sept 11). Meanwhile, Typhoon MANGKHUT has maintained its strength as it makes its final approach to the Northern Mariana Islands. It will then pass very close to Guam later this afternoon.At 11am today, the eye was located about 2,410 km East of Bicol Region, Philippines (14.2°N 146.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 140 kph near the center with higher gusts, and was moving west-southwestward @ 30 kph. It shall enter the eastern border of the PAR by Wednesday afternoon or evening (Sept 12). Kindly watch out for our initial Storm Update No. 01 on this system later tonight.
Where is 27W (NENENG)?	As of 11:00 AM PhT today, September 10…0300 GMT. The center was located over the mid-western part of the Bashi Channel (near 21.6°N 121.3°E), about 107 km north-northwest of Itbayat, Batanes or 146 km north-northwest of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs)	West-Southwest @ 18 kph, towards the Western Part of the Bashi Channel.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)	:: None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?	*Moderate to Extreme Rains (30 to more than 100 mm expected):* >> Ilocos Provinces and the Batanes and Babuyan Group of Islands – Today. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): >> None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+	:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**	TUESDAY MORNING: Becomes a Tropical Storm (TS) as it exits the PAR while moving on . west-southwestward across the western part of Bashi Channel…about 195 km south-southwest of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [8AM Sept 11: 21.0°N 119.6°E @ 65kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM. WEDNESDAY MORNING: Already outside of PAR as a intensifying TS or over the Northern part of the South China Sea…about 325 km southeast of Hong Kong, China [8AM Sept 12: 20.5°N 116.5°E @ 75kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH. **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info	> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme] > Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 385 km (Very Small/Midget) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.
Additional Information	Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon September 10, 2018 Location of Center/Eye: Near 21.6ºN Lat 121.3ºE Lon Distance 1: 253 km N of Calayan Island, Cagayan Distance 2: 339 km N of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte Distance 3: 363 km N of Aparri, Cagayan Distance 4: 386 km N of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte Distance 5: 782 km N of Metro Manila 24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 21.0ºN 119.6ºE (TS) 48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 20.5ºN 116.5ºE (TS)
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com

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