for Monday, 30 August 2010 [12:30 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun August 29 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS KOMPASU (GLENDA) located to the SE of Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands.
KOMPASU (GLENDA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph
TROPICAL STORM KOMPASU [GLENDA/08W/1007]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Mon 30 August 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #06/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
KOMPASU (GLENDA) just a shy away from becoming a Typhoon...still heading towards Okinawa-Ryukyus.
Residents and visitors along the islands of Ryukyus and Okinawa should closely monitor the progress of KOMPASU.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 2 days)* EXTENDED FORECAST TRACK (3 to 5 days)*
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Mon Aug 30 2010
Location of Center: 23.2º N Lat 132.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 545 km (295 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 805 km (435 nm) ESE of Ishigaki, Japan
Distance 3: 1,085 km (585 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 110 kph (60 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 140 kph (75 kts)
Present Movement: NW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Towards: Ryukyus-Okinawa Area
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 110 mm (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 405 km (220 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Mon Aug 30
TS KOMPASU is expected to continue moving generally northwesterly within the next 2 days...becoming a Category 1 Typhoon tonight as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) [8PM AUG 30: 24.5N 130.2E @ 120kph]. The center will then pass over Okinawa Island tomorrow morning between 10-12PM Japan Time [8AM AUG 31: 26.2N 128.3E @ 130kph]. KOMPASU will reach Category 2 as it moves into the warm waters of the East China Sea Wednesday morning [8AM SEP 01: 30.0N 125.4E @ 160kph].
Current Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 110 km/hr (60 kts) with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 100 kilometers (55 nautical miles) from the center.
THURSDAY MORNING: KOMPASU (GLENDA) starts to decay as it executes a recurvature towards the NE - while over the Yellow Sea, heading towards South Korea [8AM SEP 02: 34.6N 125.1E @ 120kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Moving fast into the Sea of Japan, after traversing South Korea...downgraded to Tropical Storm as it becomes Extratropical [8AM SEP 03: 39.3N 130.1E @ 85kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Off the coast of Western Hokkaido as an Extratropical Cyclone [8AM SEP 04: 41.6N 139.4E @ 55kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS
KOMPASU's circulation remains organized as it develops an eye-like feature at the center. Outermost rain bands expected to reach Okinawa and Ryukyus tonight. Tropical Storm Conditions will start to begin across Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands early tomorrow morning. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 240 mm (heavy) near the center of Kompasu. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Under Tropical Storm Conditions, storm surge heights may reach 1 to 3 feet (0.3 to 0.9 meters) above ground level w/ large and dangerous battering waves especially along the beaches of Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands beginning late tonight.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TS KOMPASU (GLENDA)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0710.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY
WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING (TCB). A 292020Z SSMI IMAGE DEPICTS A SYMMETRIC MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE.
ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW EXCEPT OVER THE WESTERN QUADRANT WHERE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A TUTT CELL NEAR OKINAWA IS HINDERING OUTFLOW. OVERALL,
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT
POSITION BASED ON THE TCB AND SSMI IMAGE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF DVORAK
ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 55 TO 65 KNOTS FROM KNES AND PGTW...(more)
>> KOMPASU, meaning: Circinus; a V-shaped device for describing circles or circular arcs. Name contributed by: Japan.
RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS KOMPASU (GLENDA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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