Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS DIANMU [ESTER] now moving away from Busan City... [Update #13]

for Wednesday, 11 August 2010 [12:13 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed August 11 2010):

Tropical Wave (Remnants of LPA 99W) bringing scattered to widespread rains across Bicol Region and the whole of Visayas. Meanwhile, we are currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS DIANMU (ESTER).

DIANMU (ESTER) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 90 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 kph

TROPICAL STORM DIANMU [ESTER/05W/1004]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wed 11 August 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #013/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)

Tropical Storm DIANMU (ESTER) just made landfall off the Southernmost point of South Korea a few hours ago...now just to the east of Busan City...accelerating ENE into the Sea of Japan.

*Residents and visitors along South Korea and smaller islets along the Sea of Japan should closely monitor the progress of DIANMU (ESTER).

*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

Current Storm Information

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Wed Aug 11 2010
Location of Center: 35.1º N Lat 129.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 25 km (13 nm) East of Busan, S.Korea
Distance 2: 210 km (113 nm) North of Sasebo, Japan
Distance 3: 285 km (155 nm) WNW of Hiroshima, Japan
Distance 4: 315 km (170 nm) ENE of Cheju Is., S.Korea
Distance 5: 345 km (187 nm) SE of Seoul
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 100 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Present Movement: ENE @ 37 kph (20 kts)
Towards: Sea of Japan
Size (in Diameter): 590 km (320 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): XX ft (X.X m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-4 feet [0-1.2 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Wed Aug 11

+ Forecast Outlook: DIANMU is expected to accelerate further ENE-ward within the next few hours and will exit the Sea of Japan this afternoon and begin Extratropical transition. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast Track shows DIANMU moving across the central part of the Sea of Japan tomorrow morning [8AM AUG 12: 38.7N 135.0E @ 65kph] and will attain Extratropical status tomorrow evening [8PM AUG 12: 40.5N 140.7E @ 65kph]] upon crossing Northern Honshu (Japan). It shall be over the Kuril Island Chain on Friday as a weakening Extratropical Storm [8AM AUG 13: 44.0N 147.3E @ 55kph]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects & Hazards: DIANMU's circulation has started to weaken as it covers South Korea and portions of Kyushu, Japan. Its inner bands continues to spread across Busan District and along the Southern and SE areas of South Korea...while, its outer bands remains across the whole of South Korea, portions of Kyushu, Sea of Japan and Western Shikoku. Gale to Tropical Storm Force Winds from 55 to 75 kph with higher gusts can be expected within the inner bands' diameter. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 40 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 100 mm (moderate) near the center of DIANMU. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

External Links for TS DIANMU (ESTER)

View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0510.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02

JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) WED 11 AUGUST POSITION: 35.2N 127.9E.
*INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, NOW ELONGATED
TO THE NORTHEAST, HAS BECOME FRAGMENTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH SOUTH
KOREA'S SOUTHERN TERRAIN AND EXPOSURE TO INCREASED WESTERLY VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE STORM'S INTENSITY HAS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY
DETERIORATED DUE TO GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-
LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN
THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY FROM KYUSHU, JAPAN, AND
FROM NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS EXTRAPO-
LATED FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INCLUDING 35-KNOT
SUSTAINED WINDS FROM CHINHAE. TS 05W HAS CRESTED THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND IS NOW EMBEDDED IN THE
MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES...(more)

>> DIANMU, meaning: Mother of lightning. Name contributed by: China.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):

> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

* - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS DIANMU (ESTER)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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