for Monday, 30 August 2010 [8:30 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon August 30 2010):
Now issuing 6-hrly web, email & SMS advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TD 09W located near the NE Coast of Taiwan.
09W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 kph
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W [UNNAMED]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 001
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Mon 30 August 2010
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #01/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
The strong disturbance (LPA 92W) to the NE of Taiwan has strengthened into Tropical Depression 09W (UNNAMED)...drifting WSW slowly as it interacts with Tropical Storm LIONROCK. Rainbands affecting the northern parts of Taiwan.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan and Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of 09W.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION ANALYSIS & FORECAST OUTLOOK (up to 2 days)*
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Mon Aug 30 2010
Location of Center: 25.9º N Lat 122.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 155 km (83 nm) NE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 2: 350 km (190 nm) East of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 605 km (327 nm) NNE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: WSW @ 05 kph (03 kts)
Towards: Northern Taiwan-Eastern China Area
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 220 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 410 km (220 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft (2.4 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Mon Aug 30
09W is expected to continue track Westward within the next 2 days and strengthen slightly before dissipating near the coast of Eastern China. A forthcoming Direct Cyclone Interaction (DCI) between Typhoon KOMPASU is forecast to occur beginning tomorrow evening, thereby the life span of this cyclone will be short-lived as the much stronger typhoon approaching from the east, absorbs its circulation [2PM AUG 31: 25.8N 121.9E @ 55kph...2PM SEP 01: 26.6N 121.2E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed can be expected from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS
09W's circulation has improved somewhat, thereby the upgrading of this system. Its rainbands will continue to soak the northern half of Taiwan and the Yaeyama Group of Islands. Moderate to heavy rains w/ strong winds not exceeding 45 km/hr will prevail over these areas. Click here to view the latest NOAA-CIRA's Wind Analysis. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 220 mm (heavy) near the center of 09W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TD 09W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0910.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 300154Z ASCAT PASS SHOWING 25-KNOT WIND BARBS ALONG
THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE LLCC. TD 09W APPEARS TO BE EXPERIENCING DIRECT
CYCLONE INTERACTION (DCI) WITH TS 07W IN THE NORTHERN SOUTH CHINA SEA,
ACCOUNTING FOR THE WESTWARD DEFLECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD DUE TO DCI
THEN CURVE POLEWARD BY TAU 36 IN RESPONSE TO A SECONDARY DCI WITH TY
08W WHICH AT THAT POINT WILL BE PAST OKINAWA AND IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO
TD 09W. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT TD INTENSITY BEFORE IT DISSIPATES
AT TAU 48 AS ITS FORMATIVE ENERGY GETS ABSORBED BY TY 08W. THE LIMITED
NUMERIC GUIDANCE ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT...(more)
RECENT WEATHERUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 09W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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