for Thursday, 02 April 2015 [1:20 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON MAYSAK (CHEDENG) UPDATE NUMBER 006
Issued at: 12:30 PM PhT (04:30 GMT) Thursday 02 April 2015
Next Update: Thursday Evening, 02 April 2015
Typhoon MAYSAK (CHEDENG) continues to gradually lose strength as it traverses across the eastern part of the Philippine Sea...still poses a threat to Central and Northern Luzon.
Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region and Eastern Luzon should closely monitor the development of Maysak.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Bicol, and Eastern sections of Central and Northern Luzon - Sunday morning (Apr 05) through Monday morning (Apr 06).
- Moderate to Strong Winds (gusts of up to 75 kph): Catanduanes and Northern Coasts of Bicol - beginning Saturday afternoon (Apr 04). Eastern sections of Central and Northern Luzon - beginning Saturday evening (Apr 04).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 AM PhT today, Apr 02...0300 GMT.
Classification/Name: TY Maysak (Chedeng)
Location: Over the easternmost part of the Philippine Sea (near 12.6N 133.7E)
About: 910 km east-northeast of Borongan City...or 1,035 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 195 kph near the center...Gustiness: 230 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 50 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 941 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 780 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 130 km North from the Center and 85 km South from the Center
Past Movement: Northwest @ 13 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest to West-Northwest @ 17 kph
Towards: Eastern Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will move on a northwest to west-northwest track during the next 24 hours...turning more to the west-northwest to west with an increasing speed on the remainder of the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, MAYSAK (CHEDENG) shall be moving across the Eastern and Central Part of the Philippine Sea through Saturday morning.
MAYSAK (CHEDENG) will continue to gradually lose strength throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 130 kph by Saturday morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:
FRIDAY MORNING: Moves over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea...weakens further slightly...about 715 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [8AM APR 03: 14.0N 130.8E @ 165kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it moves across the Central part of the Philippine Sea...significantly gaining speed...about 210 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [8AM APR 04: 14.8N 125.7E @ 130kph].
SUNDAY MORNING: Accelerates further and weakens into a Tropical Storm after traversing Northern-Central Luzon Area...about 130 km west-northwest of Baguio City [8AM APR 05: 16.9N 119.5E @ 100kph].
*Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.
Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Thu Apr 02, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 12.6º N Lat 133.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 890 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2: 1040 km ESE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 3: 1180 km ESE of Daet, Camarines Norte
Distance 4: 1055 km ESE of Sorsogon City
Distance 5: 1140 km ESE of Metro Naga
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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